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KOFCoca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V.Buy Wait5.4·$102.71+0.22%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Despite a forward earnings multiple of 12.7x and a Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9, two of the most recent four quarters missed estimates, revenue and earnings growth are near-zero, and the stock has already reached its near-term resistance target with only about 1.3% of headroom remaining — the setup favors patience over adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Dividend Coverage UncertaintyDeteriorating
  • Attractive Valuation At ResistanceStable
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Coca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V. (KOF) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Earnings in 2 days (2026-07-27). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $96.12. At $102.71 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $96.12 (R/R-minimum solve) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V., a franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. The company offers sparkling beverages, including colas... Read more

$102.71+0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#9 of 13 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield121.06%
IncomeYield4.14%(5y avg 3.76%)Payout623.47%at-risk
Entry $96.12(R/R-minimum solve)Stop $91.56Target $102.96(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$118.34+15.2%13 analysts
$102.96our TP
$102.71price
$118.34mean
$133

Wait for pullback to $96.12. At $102.71 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $96.12 (R/R-minimum solve) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 20262d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$21.6B
EV/EBITDA3.8
Profit Mgn7.9%
ROE15.8%
Rev Growth1.1%
Beta0.53
Dividend4.14%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV37%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.8
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $101.00Resistance $108.26

Price Targets

$92
$96
$103
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.2% upside)
! Earnings in 2 days - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KOF stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $96.12. At $102.71 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $96.12 (R/R-minimum solve) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $102.96 (+0.2%), stop $91.56 (−12.2%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KOF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $102.96 (+0.2% upside). Target $102.96 (+0.2%), stop $91.56 (−12.2%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $91.56.

What are the risks of investing in KOF?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is KOF overvalued or undervalued?

Coca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about KOF?

17 analysts cover KOF with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $118.

What does Coca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V. do?Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V., a franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked...

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V., a franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. The company offers sparkling beverages, including colas and flavored sparkling beverages; waters; and other non-carbonated beverages, including tea, sports drinks, energy drinks, fruit-based beverages, juice, coffee, milk, value-added dairy, and plant-based drinks. It also distributes and sells beer products under the Heineken, Estrella Galicia, and Therezópolis brands; alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages, such as Bacardí Coca-Cola and Topo Chico Hard Seltzer; and Monster products. The company sells its products to distributors, retail outlets, wholesale supermarkets, discount and convenience stores, retailers, points-of-sale outlets, restaurants and bars, stadiums, auditoriums, theaters, and home deliveries. Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

Related stocks: CELH (Celsius Holdings, Inc.) · COKE (Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.) · MNST (Monster Beverage Corporation) · COCO (The Vita Coco Company, Inc.) · AKO-A (Embotelladora Andina S.A.)
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