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KNFKnife Riv Holding Co.Sell4.8·$58.53

Knife Riv Holding (KNF) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

MISS-4.4% vs estimateEPS $2.44 vs $2.56 estCurrent verdict Sell 4.8/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
$2.44
Estimate
$2.56
Surprise
-4.4%
Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
$1.28B
Score today
4.8/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

Knife Riv Holding (KNF) missed the $2.56 estimate with adjusted EPS of $2.44 — a clear 4.4% shortfall.

Around the report

Coverage in the report window

  • Knife River Holding Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga, 2026-11-03
  • Knife River Q3 Earnings Fall, Revenue Rises; Trims 2026 Revenue Guidance — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-03
  • Knife River CEO Says Market Dynamics, Project Delays & Higher Fuel Costs Carried Into Q3, Hit Contracting Services Harde — benzinga, 2026-11-03
Current read · as of 2026-11-04

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates KNF Sell at 4.8/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -4.4% surprise compares with a -4.5% four-quarter average.

What argues against it

  • Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
  • Reward/Risk 0.6:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$58.53
Price target
$63.68
Stop
$54.43
Upside to target
+8.8%
Reward-to-risk
0.6:1

The stock trades at 24.7× trailing but 18.0× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Risk check: RSI 84 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum; trading volume is running 2.0× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Basic Materials context

KNF at TrendMatrix's latest read

Materials producers report against the commodity cycle — realized-price capture and volume, not the EPS line, are the tells in a quarter like this.

Industry
Building Materials
Market cap
$3.32B
P/E (fwd)
18.0
P/E (ttm)
24.7
52-week range
$47.79–$96.28
Off 52-week high
39.2%
RSI (14)
84
Volume vs avg
1.97×
Score today
4.8/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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