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KDKyndryl Holdings, Inc.Sell5.0·$11.47-1.97%
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Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. (KD) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.47: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Kyndryl is a leading provider of mission-critical enterprise technology services, offering advisory, implementation and managed service capabilities to thousands of customers in more than 60 countries. As the world's largest IT infrastructure services provider, the Company... Read more

$11.47+6.9% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#27 of 34 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield106.06%
Stop $10.67Target $12.27(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$14.10+22.9%5 analysts
$12.27our TP
$11.47price
$14.10mean
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.47: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and 8k serious 2.05. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -2068.4%), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.8
P/E (Fwd)4.5
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA3.7
Profit Mgn1.3%
ROE15.1%
Rev Growth-0.8%
Beta1.73
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.09bullish
IV79%elevated
Max Pain$36+213.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-06Item 2.05MEDIUM
    Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities** ​ On May 5, 2026, the Company approved, as part of its ongoing efforts to further streamline operations, workforce rebalancing actions designed to optimize and support the Company's financial and operational efficiency.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
1.0
Earnings History
3.3
Earnings Timing
5.0
Estimates down -36.7% (30d)Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.8
Quality Rank
3.4
Value Rank
7.4

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.4
Net Margin
0.7
Operating Margin
1.6
Roa
2.2
Current Ratio
3.5
Moat
3.6
Piotroski F
4.4
Roe
5.0
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.1
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.6
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -13.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)8K SERIOUS 2.05Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.98Resistance $13.01

Price Targets

$11
$12
A.Upside+7.0%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -2068.4%), Negative free cash flow
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.47: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.67. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.27 (+6.9% upside). Prior stop was $10.67. Stop-loss: $10.67.

What are the risks of investing in KD?

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -2068.4%), Negative free cash flow.

Is KD overvalued or undervalued?

Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.8 (forward 4.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KD?

15 analysts cover KD with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. do?Kyndryl is a leading provider of mission-critical enterprise technology services, offering advisory, implementation and...

Kyndryl is a leading provider of mission-critical enterprise technology services, offering advisory, implementation and managed service capabilities to thousands of customers in more than 60 countries. As the world's largest IT infrastructure services provider, the Company designs, builds, manages and modernizes the complex information systems that the world depends on every day.

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