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ITRGIntegra Resources Corp.Sell5.8·$2.79+3.14%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ITRG screens as deeply undervalued with an outsized analyst-implied upside, but a likely commodity-cycle earnings peak, consecutive earnings misses, a severe earnings-quality red flag, and small-cap constraints temper the case for adding to the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value With Massive Analyst UpsideDeteriorating
  • Commodity Cycle Peak RiskImproving
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Integra Resources Corp. (ITRG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $2.79: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.09× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced..

Integra Resources Corp., a precious metals producer, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in the Great Basin of the Western United States. It explores for gold and silver deposits. The company's flagship projects include DeLamar Project which includes... Read more

$2.79+82.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#8 of 13 Other Precious Metals & Mining
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-5.59%
Stop $2.59Target $5.10(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 5.5:1
Analyst target$6.00+115.1%2 analysts
$5.10our TP
$2.79price
$6.00mean
$7

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $2.79: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.09× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 80. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on materials cycle peak fwd=6.1x,ratio=0.09x. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202689d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 83%
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.09× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Overbought (RSI 80)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)67.8
P/E (Fwd)6.1
Mkt Cap$550M
EV/EBITDA5.3
Profit Mgn4.1%
ROE5.2%
Rev Growth15.9%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.4
Support Resistance
0.7
52w Position
1.5
Gap
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
3.3
Value Rank
3.9
GatesMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=6.1x,ratio=0.09xMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.3>=4.5A.R:R 5.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
80 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $1.99Resistance $2.85

Price Targets

$3
$5
A.Upside+82.8%
A.R:R5.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=6.1x,ratio=0.09x

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ITRG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $2.79: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.09× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 80. Prior stop was $2.59. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ITRG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.10 (+82.8% upside). Prior stop was $2.59. Stop-loss: $2.59.

What are the risks of investing in ITRG?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.09× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Overbought (RSI 80).

Is ITRG overvalued or undervalued?

Integra Resources Corp. trades at a P/E of 67.8 (forward 6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ITRG?

16 analysts cover ITRG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $6.

What does Integra Resources Corp. do?Integra Resources Corp., a precious metals producer, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties...

Integra Resources Corp., a precious metals producer, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in the Great Basin of the Western United States. It explores for gold and silver deposits. The company's flagship projects include DeLamar Project which includes 790 unpatented lode, placer, and millsite claims, and 16 tax parcels comprised of patented mining claims covering an area of 8,673 hectares located in southwestern Idaho; and the Nevada North Project located in western Nevada. The company was formerly known as Mag Copper Limited and changed its name to Integra Resources Corp. in August 2017. Integra Resources Corp. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: MUX (McEwen Inc.) · ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd.) · ELE (Elemental Royalty Corporation) · MTA (Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd) · VMET (Versamet Royalties Corporation)
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