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ILPTIndustrial Logistics PropertiesSell5.2·$8.95-0.56%
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Industrial Logistics Properties (ILPT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $8.95 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.5% away).

Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is a real estate investment trust focused on owning and leasing high quality industrial and logistics properties. As of March 31, 2026, ILPT's portfolio consisted of 409 properties containing approximately 59.6 million rentable square feet... Read more

$8.95+2.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#9 of 16 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield24.20%
IncomeYield2.23%(5y avg 4.29%)Payout92.31%
Stop $8.32Target $9.18(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$9.65+7.8%2 analysts
$9.18our TP
$8.95price
$9.65mean
$10

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $8.95 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.5% away). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.5% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.7): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-10.2
Mkt Cap$597M
EV/EBITDA16.5
Profit Mgn-11.9%
ROE-9.6%
Rev Growth4.0%
Beta2.50
Dividend2.23%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV96%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.5
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.06Resistance $9.37

Price Targets

$8
$9
A.Upside+2.6%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ILPT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $8.95 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.5% away). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $8.32. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the ILPT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.18 (+2.6% upside). Prior stop was $8.32. Stop-loss: $8.32.

What are the risks of investing in ILPT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.5% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 4.7): -1.5.

Is ILPT overvalued or undervalued?

Industrial Logistics Properties trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ILPT?

9 analysts cover ILPT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Industrial Logistics Properties do?Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is a real estate investment trust focused on owning and leasing high quality...

Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is a real estate investment trust focused on owning and leasing high quality industrial and logistics properties. As of March 31, 2026, ILPT's portfolio consisted of 409 properties containing approximately 59.6 million rentable square feet located in 39 states. Approximately 77% of ILPT's annualized rental revenues as of March 31, 2026, are derived from investment grade tenants, tenants that are subsidiaries of investment grade rated entities or Hawaii land leases. ILPT is managed by The RMR Group, a leading U.S. alternative asset management company with over 37 billion US dollars in assets under management as of March 31, 2026, and 40 years of institutional experience in buying, selling, financing and operating commercial real estate. ILPT is headquartered in Newton, MA. Industrial Logistics Properties Trust was incorporated in 2017 in Maryland, USA.

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