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IHRTiHeartMedia, Inc.Sell4.6·$2.87+0.88%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

iHeartMedia screens cheap on traditional value multiples, but 4 consecutive earnings misses, a negative asymmetry setup, and elevated implied volatility argue for caution until the turnaround shows through in results.

Thesis pillars

  • Fcf Positive Earnings QualityStable
  • Attractive ValuationStable
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

iHeartMedia, Inc. (IHRT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Broadcasting

Sell if holding. At $2.87, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4).

iHeartMedia is the largest audio media company in the U.S., operating 868 AM/FM radio stations, the iHeartRadio digital platform, the number-one U.S. podcast publisher, live events, and media-representation and software services through Katz Media and RCS. The company generated... Read more

$2.87+7.7% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#6 of 6 Broadcasting
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield43.50%
Stop $2.66Target $3.08(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$3.63+26.3%2 analysts
$3.08our TP
$2.87price
$3.63mean
$2
$5

Sell if holding. At $2.87, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About iHeartMedia, Inc.

About iHeartMedia, Inc.

iHeartMedia generated $3,875.4 million in 2025 revenue across three segments: Multiplatform Group ($2,273.5 million, including broadcast radio, networks, and events), Digital Audio Group ($1,329.4 million, spanning podcasting and streaming), and Audio & Media Services ($272.5 million, media representation and broadcast software). The company operates 868 AM/FM radio stations, all located in the United States, and ranks as the number-one U.S. podcast publisher with 167 million global monthly downloads and streams.

Advertising sales are iHeartMedia's core revenue engine: broadcast radio spot sales generated $1,633.4 million in 2025, priced on spot length and ratings-measured audience size, while Premiere Networks and Total Traffic & Weather syndication added $439.8 million and live events such as the iHeartRadio Music Festival contributed $182.0 million. Digital revenue split between podcasting ($563.7 million, monetized through host-read and programmatic ad insertion) and other digital streaming and subscription products such as iHeartRadio Plus and All Access ($765.7 million). Katz Media earns commissions representing more than 3,400 non-iHeartMedia radio stations, and RCS licenses broadcast automation and scheduling software to more than 10,000 stations worldwide. Advertiser contracts run from less than one year to multi-year terms with no minimum commitments, and no single advertising category exceeds approximately 5% of total ad revenue, spreading demand-side risk across financial services, automotive, healthcare, telecom, and other categories even as talent contracts and content-acquisition costs remain a meaningful, discretionary expense.

Show full overview

iHeartMedia's entire broadcast footprint sits under a single regulator's umbrella: all 868 owned and operated radio stations require FCC licenses, radio acquisitions and dispositions require FCC approval under the Communications Act, and the FCC's media-ownership rules remain subject to ongoing agency proceedings that could restrict the company's ability to buy or sell stations in the future. That single-regulator dependency compounds the company's annual goodwill and FCC-license impairment testing cycle — performed every July 1 — which has already produced material impairment charges in recent periods and could recur if advertising demand or station valuations weaken further, a real risk given that macroeconomic uncertainty already dented 2025 advertising revenue, cash flow, and profit margins.

See also: Communication Services · Broadcasting

From iHeartMedia, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-03
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202667d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.7%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-7.3
Mkt Cap$440M
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn-7.2%
ROE
Rev Growth4.7%
Beta2.24
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV115%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.6
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
8.3

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.60Resistance $4.06

Price Targets

$3
$3
A.Upside+7.7%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IHRT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $2.87, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. Prior stop was $2.66. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

What is the IHRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3.08 (+7.7% upside). Prior stop was $2.66. Stop-loss: $2.66.

What are the risks of investing in IHRT?

Thin upside margin: 7.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Is IHRT overvalued or undervalued?

iHeartMedia, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IHRT?

9 analysts cover IHRT with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $4.

What does iHeartMedia, Inc. do?iHeartMedia is the largest audio media company in the U.S., operating 868 AM/FM radio stations, the iHeartRadio digital...

iHeartMedia is the largest audio media company in the U.S., operating 868 AM/FM radio stations, the iHeartRadio digital platform, the number-one U.S. podcast publisher, live events, and media-representation and software services through Katz Media and RCS. The company generated $3,875.4 million in 2025 revenue across its Multiplatform ($2,273.5M), Digital Audio ($1,329.4M), and Audio & Media Services ($272.5M) segments, primarily from advertising sales.

Related stocks: GTN (Gray Media, Inc.) · GTN-A (Gray Media, Inc.) · SBGI (Sinclair, Inc.) · NMAX (Newsmax, Inc.)
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