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HRMYHarmony Biosciences Holdings, IBuy Wait7.1·$34.41

Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I (HRMY) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

MISS-25.6% vs estimateEPS $0.81 vs $1.09 estCurrent verdict Buy (Wait) 7.1/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
$0.81
Estimate
$1.09
Surprise
-25.6%
Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
$268.9M
Score today
7.1/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I (HRMY) missed the $1.09 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.81 — a large 25.6% shortfall.

Current read · as of 2026-11-05

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates HRMY Buy (Wait) at 7.1/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -25.6% surprise compares with a -14.3% four-quarter average.

What supports the rating

  • V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.8 in RISK_OFF)
  • Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Product: WAKIX
  • Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source suppliers and manufacturers
  • Consecutive earnings misses (3)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$34.41
Entry target
$32.58
Price target
$41.83
Stop
$30.30
Upside to target
+21.5%
Reward-to-risk
2.0:1

The stock trades at 11.4× trailing but 4.9× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Risk check: trading volume is running 2.1× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-05 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Healthcare context

HRMY at TrendMatrix's latest read

Healthcare earnings trade on pipeline and payer dynamics as much as the quarter itself; a beat or miss is weighed against trial and reimbursement news.

Industry
Biotechnology
Market cap
$2.00B
P/E (fwd)
4.9
P/E (ttm)
11.4
52-week range
$25.90–$43.49
Off 52-week high
20.9%
RSI (14)
33
Volume vs avg
2.07×
Score today
7.1/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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