Horace Mann Educators Corporati (HMN) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $1.17
- Estimate
- $0.73
- Surprise
- +60.3%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.4 → 5.7/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Horace Mann Educators Corporati (HMN) beat the $0.73 estimate with diluted EPS of $1.17 — a large 60.3% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.4/10) to Hold at 5.7/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates HMN Hold at 6.0/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +60.3% surprise compares with a +25.4% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-03.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
What argues against it
- Single-region cliff: 61% exposure to top ten states (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.
- Concentration risk — Geographic: top ten states (60.9%)
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $51.53
- Price target
- $53.35
- Stop
- $49.65
- Upside to target
- +3.5%
The stock trades at 12.0× trailing but 9.8× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
HMN at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Insurance - Property & Casualty
- Market cap
- $2.10B
- P/E (fwd)
- 9.8
- P/E (ttm)
- 12.0
- 52-week range
- $41.29–$55.56
- Off 52-week high
- 7.3%
- RSI (14)
- 46
- Volume vs avg
- 0.75×
- Score today
- 6.0/10