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GTNGray Media, Inc.Sell4.6·$4.11+3.01%
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Gray Media, Inc. (GTN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Broadcasting

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.11: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Gray Media, Inc., a multimedia company, owns and/or operates local television stations and digital assets in the United States. The company operates through Broadcasting, Production Companies, and Other segments. It also owns Gray Digital Media, a digital agency that provides... Read more

$4.11+37.7% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#5 of 6 Broadcasting
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield27.15%
IncomeYield7.79%(5y avg 4.60%)Payout74.42%
Stop $3.82Target $5.66(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$6.50+58.2%5 analysts
$5.66our TP
$4.11price
$6.50mean
$3
$11

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.11: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Gray Media, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-05T09:50:25Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 7, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-17.1
Mkt Cap$422M
EV/EBITDA10.3
Profit Mgn-3.1%
ROE-3.4%
Rev Growth-1.8%
Beta0.96
Dividend7.79%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.01bullish
IV138%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.0
Declining revenue: -2%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.9
Roa
1.6
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
3.3
Operating Margin
4.2
Current Ratio
4.6
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
2.8
52w Position
3.0
Gap
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 779.0%
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.5>=5.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.55Resistance $4.33

Price Targets

$4
$6
A.Upside+37.7%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-07 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GTN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.11: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Prior stop was $3.82. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GTN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.66 (+37.7% upside). Prior stop was $3.82. Stop-loss: $3.82.

What are the risks of investing in GTN?

Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0).

Is GTN overvalued or undervalued?

Gray Media, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -17.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GTN?

9 analysts cover GTN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $7.

What does Gray Media, Inc. do?Gray Media, Inc., a multimedia company, owns and/or operates local television stations and digital assets in the United...

Gray Media, Inc., a multimedia company, owns and/or operates local television stations and digital assets in the United States. The company operates through Broadcasting, Production Companies, and Other segments. It also owns Gray Digital Media, a digital agency that provides clients with digital marketing strategies; and operates video production companies and studio production facilities. The company was formerly known as Gray Television, Inc. and changed its name to Gray Media, Inc. in July 2002. Gray Media, Inc. was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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