Grindr (GRND) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.12
- Estimate
- $0.15
- Surprise
- -19.5%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.5 → 6.7/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Grindr (GRND) missed the $0.15 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.12 — a large 19.5% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.5/10) to Hold at 6.7/10 after the report — the engine's score rose despite the miss.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates GRND Hold at 6.7/10.
1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -19.5% surprise compares with a -9.4% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-02-25.
What supports the rating
- V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.9 in RISK_OFF)
- High-quality business
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Counterparty: Apple App Store and Google Play Store
- Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
- Consecutive earnings misses (2)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $13.54
- Price target
- $18.10
- Stop
- $12.59
- Upside to target
- +33.7%
- Reward-to-risk
- 3.4:1
The stock trades at 28.8× trailing but 17.6× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: trading volume is running 1.8× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-07 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
GRND at TrendMatrix's latest read
Technology names get repriced on forward expectations more than trailing prints — a quarter here is read through next-year growth and multiple, not the EPS line alone.
- Industry
- Software - Application
- Market cap
- $2.41B
- P/E (fwd)
- 17.6
- P/E (ttm)
- 28.8
- 52-week range
- $9.73–$18.50
- Off 52-week high
- 26.8%
- RSI (14)
- 43
- Volume vs avg
- 1.81×
- Score today
- 6.7/10