Green Brick Partners (GRBK) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $1.35
- Estimate
- $1.43
- Surprise
- -5.6%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $448.2M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.4 → 5.2/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Green Brick Partners (GRBK) missed the $1.43 estimate with adjusted EPS of $1.35 — a clear 5.6% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.4/10) to Sell at 5.2/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates GRBK Sell at 5.2/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -5.6% surprise compares with a +10.2% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
- Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $62.92
- Stop
- $59.04
At 9.5× trailing and 10.5× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
GRBK at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Residential Construction
- Market cap
- $2.71B
- P/E (fwd)
- 10.5
- P/E (ttm)
- 9.5
- 52-week range
- $59.12–$83.18
- Off 52-week high
- 24.4%
- RSI (14)
- 48
- Volume vs avg
- 1.21×
- Score today
- 5.2/10