Value
9.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.6 |
| P/S | 9.8 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.3 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 10.2x
- ▸PEG: 0.46
- ▸Attractively valued
GLRE · Why this verdict
Why Greenlight Reinsurance (GLRE) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 3.8 |
| ROA | 1.6 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 8.4 |
| Net margin | 5.7 |
| Current ratio | 5.6 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 3.1 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 340% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
Growth
3.6/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 0.8 |
| EPS growth | 6.4 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -7%
Momentum
4.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 7.9 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 7.0 |
| Volume | 2.1 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
5.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
3.3/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 3.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Notable insider selling — $1,472,077 (0.271% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.3/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.0 |
| quality rank | 1.7 |
| growth rank | 1.7 |
Technical
4.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 3.2 |
| support resistance | 2.4 |
| 52w position | 6.9 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.3 |
| days to cover | 9.0 |
| volatility | 4.5 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 4.9 |
- ▸High IV: 121%
Catalyst
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 5.6 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 3.5 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (6)
- MOMENTUM:4.7>=4.5
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:30d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (3)
- MOMENTUM:4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
- ASYMMETRY:UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)
- INSIDER:0.27%=MODERATE
Reward-to-Risk
0.00
Upside
+0.0%
Downside
9.1%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRange Bound — RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeInst Constrain — Small cap ($0.5B) below institutional reach
SuitabilityAggressive — MCap $0.5B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.6 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 9.7) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.00 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.7, Risk (lower is worse) at 6.3, and Quality at 5.0; the weakest are Peer rank at 3.3, Insider at 3.3, and Growth at 3.6. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 3 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.00 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.