Genius Sports is the industry's top revenue grower at 30% year over year with a forward earnings multiple of 7.1x and 33% upside to the analyst price target, but business quality at 2.0 out of 10 sits well below any credible investment floor and three of four recent quarters ended in deep earnings misses — the growth is real, the business durability is not yet established.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Investment Floor↓Deteriorating
- Top Tier Revenue Growth Profile→Stable
- Persistent Earnings Miss History↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Genius Sports Limited (GENI) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Communication Services · Internet Content & Information
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.45: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality.
Genius Sports Limited provides technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries in the Americas, Europe, and internationally. It offers technology infrastructure for the collection, integration, and distribution of live optical... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.45: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-15Recent Developments — Genius Sports Limited
Latest news
- NEWS Guggenheim Maintains Buy on Genius Sports, Raises Price Target to $12 — benzinga Aug 7, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Macquarie Maintains Outperform on Genius Sports, Raises Price Target to $12 — benzinga Aug 7, 2026 positive
- NEWS Oppenheimer Maintains Outperform on Genius Sports, Raises Price Target to $12 — benzinga Aug 7, 2026 positive
- NEWS Needham Maintains Buy on Genius Sports, Raises Price Target to $12 — benzinga Aug 7, 2026 positive
- NEWS BTIG Maintains Buy on Genius Sports, Raises Price Target to $10 — benzinga Aug 6, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-08-15T09:37:16Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.45: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $7.79. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $9.83 (+17.3% upside). Prior stop was $7.79. Stop-loss: $7.79.
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).
Genius Sports Limited trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
27 analysts cover GENI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $11.
What does Genius Sports Limited do?Genius Sports Limited provides technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting, and sports media...
Genius Sports Limited provides technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries in the Americas, Europe, and internationally. It offers technology infrastructure for the collection, integration, and distribution of live optical tracking, event data, and video for league's operations; streaming solutions comprising technology, automatic production, and distribution for sports to commercialize video footage of their games; and end-to-end integrity services to sports leagues, such as full-time active monitoring technology, which uses mathematical algorithms to identify and flag suspicious betting activity in global betting markets, as well as a full suite of online and offline educational and consultancy services. The company also develops additional tools that help sports leagues deepen fan engagement; and digital content and gamification solutions, as well as provides consumer insights and fan intelligence services. In addition, it provides live sports data collection; pre-game and in-game odds feeds; risk management services, including customer profiling, monitoring of incoming bets, automated acceptance and rejection of bets, and limit setting; and live streaming services. Further, the company offers BetVision, an interactive single-screen live streaming solution that provides integrated bet slip, real-time team and player statistics, personalized, and augmented viewing modes; and FanHub, an advertising solution that helps in creation, delivery, and optimization of digital marketing campaigns, including data-driven personalized ad creative and programmatic media buying. The company was formerly known as Genius Sports Group Limited and changed its name to Genius Sports Limited in April 2021. Genius Sports Limited was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.