Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge
Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.45: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Forward Air Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an asset-light freight and logistics company in the United States, Mexico, Europe, Asia, and Canada. The company operates through three segments: Expedited Freight, Omni Logistics, and Intermodal. Its Expedited... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.45: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
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Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
5 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -5.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.45: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Prior stop was $12.51. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $15.58 (+15.8% upside). Prior stop was $12.51. Stop-loss: $12.51.
Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 3.5), Negative free cash flow.
Forward Air Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -53.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover FWRD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $18.
What does Forward Air Corporation do?Forward Air Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an asset-light freight and logistics company in...
Forward Air Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an asset-light freight and logistics company in the United States, Mexico, Europe, Asia, and Canada. The company operates through three segments: Expedited Freight, Omni Logistics, and Intermodal. Its Expedited Freight segment provides expedited regional, inter-regional, and national less-than-truckload services; local pick-up and delivery services; and other services, which include shipment consolidation and deconsolidation, warehousing, customs brokerage, and other handling. This segment offers expedited truckload brokerage, dedicated fleet, and high security and temperature-controlled logistics services. The Omni Logistics segment offers full suite of global logistics services, such as air and ocean freight consolidation and forwarding, customs brokerage, warehousing and distribution, value-added services, time-definite transportation services, and other supply chain solutions. Its Intermodal segment provides intermodal container drayage services; and contract and container freight station warehouse and handling services. The company serves freight forwarders, third-party logistics companies, integrated air cargo carriers and passenger, passenger and cargo airlines, steamship lines, and retailers. Forward Air Corporation was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.