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FROFrontline PlcHold7.0·$39.48+1.62%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Frontline carries a high-quality franchise with peer-leading margins and a wide economic moat, but has traded past its near-term resistance target, four consecutive earnings misses have cast doubt on near-term delivery, and low free cash conversion raises questions about dividend sustainability — together these factors favor patience over new exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Yield Sustainability ConcernDeteriorating
  • High Quality Wide MoatStable
  • Exceptional Revenue GrowthStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Frontline Plc (FRO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Frontline plc, a shipping company, engages in the ownership and operation of oil and product tankers worldwide. The company owns and operates oil and product tankers, such as very large crude carriers (VLCCs), Suezmax tankers, and LR2/Aframax tankers. As of December 31, 2025, it... Read more

$39.48-4.3% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#8 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.28%
IncomeYield8.06%(5y avg 11.48%)Payout43.35%sustainable
Stop $36.54Target $38.97(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$44.25+12.1%4 analysts
$38.97our TP
$39.48price
$44.25mean
$37
$55

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (4). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-4.3% upside). Wait for pullback. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 31, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.6
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$8.7B
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn40.2%
ROE35.0%
Rev Growth66.9%
Beta0.03
Dividend8.06%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.04bullish
IV56%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
4.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
1.0
Gap
5.0
52w Position
8.2
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $34.13Resistance $39.77

Price Targets

$37
$39
A.Upside-4.3%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.3% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-31 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FRO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (4). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-4.3% upside). Wait for pullback. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $38.97 (-1.3%), stop $36.54 (−8.0%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FRO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.97 (-4.3% upside). Target $38.97 (-1.3%), stop $36.54 (−8.0%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $36.54.

What are the risks of investing in FRO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is FRO overvalued or undervalued?

Frontline Plc trades at a P/E of 9.6 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FRO?

7 analysts cover FRO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $44.

What does Frontline Plc do?Frontline plc, a shipping company, engages in the ownership and operation of oil and product tankers worldwide. The...

Frontline plc, a shipping company, engages in the ownership and operation of oil and product tankers worldwide. The company owns and operates oil and product tankers, such as very large crude carriers (VLCCs), Suezmax tankers, and LR2/Aframax tankers. As of December 31, 2025, it operated a fleet of 80 vessels, including 41 VLCCs, 21 Suezmax tankers, and 18 LR2/Aframax tankers. The company is also involved in the charter, purchase, and sale of vessels. Frontline plc was founded in 1985 and is based in Limassol, Cyprus.

Related stocks: STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · TNK (Teekay Tankers Ltd.)
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