Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.61
- Estimate
- $0.57
- Surprise
- +7.5%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-24)
- $1.21B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.1 → 4.8/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) beat the $0.57 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.61 — a clear 7.5% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.1/10) to Sell at 4.8/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Coverage in the report window
- Evercore ISI Group Maintains In-Line on Floor & Decor Hldgs, Raises Price Target to $55 — benzinga, 2026-10-30
- Truist Securities Adjusts Price Target on Floor & Decor Holdings to $65 From $70 — fiscal.ai, 2026-10-30
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates FND Sell at 4.9/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +7.5% surprise compares with a +1.1% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
What argues against it
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1)
- Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $50.34
- Stop
- $46.82
At 23.5× trailing and 23.5× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-30 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
FND at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Home Improvement Retail
- Market cap
- $5.36B
- P/E (fwd)
- 23.5
- P/E (ttm)
- 23.5
- 52-week range
- $42.64–$77.46
- Off 52-week high
- 35.0%
- RSI (14)
- 67
- Volume vs avg
- 1.41×
- Score today
- 4.9/10