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FLOFlowers Foods, Inc.Sell5.4·$6.01

Flowers Foods (FLO) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

MISS-34.1% vs estimateEPS $0.10 vs $0.15 estCurrent verdict Sell 5.4/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
$0.10
Estimate
$0.15
Surprise
-34.1%
Revenue (period 2026-10-10)
$1.17B
Score today
5.4/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

Flowers Foods (FLO) missed the $0.15 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.10 — a large 34.1% shortfall.

Around the report

Coverage in the report window

  • FLowers Foods Lowers FY2026 Adj EPS Guidance from $0.75-$0.85 to $0.63-$0.68 vs $0.77 Est; Lowers FY2026 Sales Guidance — benzinga, 2026-11-12
Current read · as of 2026-11-13

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates FLO Sell at 5.4/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -34.1% surprise compares with a +6.5% four-quarter average.

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (57.7%)
  • Risk below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
  • Momentum score 3.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$6.01
Price target
$6.35
Stop
$5.59
Upside to target
+5.7%
Reward-to-risk
0.5:1

The stock trades at 22.3× trailing but 8.9× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Risk check: trading volume is running 2.1× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-13 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Defensive context

FLO at TrendMatrix's latest read

Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.

Industry
Packaged Foods
Market cap
$1.27B
P/E (fwd)
8.9
P/E (ttm)
22.3
52-week range
$5.40–$12.14
Off 52-week high
50.5%
RSI (14)
47
Volume vs avg
2.06×
Score today
5.4/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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