Flowers Foods (FLO) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.21
- Estimate
- $0.22
- Surprise
- -5.8%
- Revenue (period 2026-07-18)
- $1.19B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.9 → 6.1/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Flowers Foods (FLO) missed the $0.22 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.21 — a clear 5.8% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Sell (5.9/10) to Hold at 6.1/10 after the report — the engine's score rose despite the miss.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates FLO Sell at 6.2/10.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -5.8% surprise compares with a +11.6% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-05.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (57.7%)
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
- Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $5.81
- Price target
- $6.87
- Stop
- $5.57
- Upside to target
- +18.2%
- Reward-to-risk
- 2.4:1
The stock trades at 22.6× trailing but 8.2× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 23 — a level conventionally read as oversold.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-24 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
FLO at TrendMatrix's latest read
Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.
- Industry
- Packaged Foods
- Market cap
- $1.25B
- P/E (fwd)
- 8.2
- P/E (ttm)
- 22.6
- 52-week range
- $5.85–$13.28
- Off 52-week high
- 56.3%
- RSI (14)
- 23
- Volume vs avg
- 1.04×
- Score today
- 6.2/10