Flowers Foods (FLO) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.21
- Estimate
- $0.22
- Surprise
- -5.8%
- Revenue (period 2026-07-18)
- $1.19B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.9 → 6.1/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Flowers Foods (FLO) missed the $0.22 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.21 — a clear 5.8% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Sell (5.9/10) to Hold at 6.1/10 after the report — the engine's score rose despite the miss.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates FLO Sell at 6.2/10.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -5.8% surprise compares with a +17.4% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-05.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (57.7%)
- Thin upside margin: 7.8%
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $5.97
- Price target
- $6.44
- Stop
- $5.55
- Upside to target
- +7.9%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.8:1
The stock trades at 22.1× trailing but 8.7× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-14 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
FLO at TrendMatrix's latest read
Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.
- Industry
- Packaged Foods
- Market cap
- $1.27B
- P/E (fwd)
- 8.7
- P/E (ttm)
- 22.1
- 52-week range
- $5.40–$13.11
- Off 52-week high
- 54.5%
- RSI (14)
- 57
- Volume vs avg
- 0.81×
- Score today
- 6.2/10