National Vision Holdings (EYE) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.30
- Estimate
- $0.17
- Surprise
- +76.2%
- Revenue (period 2026-10-03)
- $510.5M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.0 → 6.1/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
National Vision Holdings (EYE) beat the $0.17 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.30 — a large 76.2% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Sell (6.0/10) to Hold at 6.1/10 after the report.
Coverage in the report window
- National Vision Reports Higher Q3 Earnings but Lowers Comparable Sales Growth Outlook — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-12
- National Vision Holdings Narrows FY2026 Adj EPS Guidance from $0.94-$1.09 to $0.95-$1.03 vs $1.00 Est; Lowers FY2026 Sal — benzinga, 2026-11-12
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates EYE Hold at 6.1/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +76.2% surprise compares with a +66.9% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Elevated risk factors
- Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $18.57
- Price target
- $23.75
- Stop
- $17.27
- Upside to target
- +27.9%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.9:1
The stock trades at 30.0× trailing but 15.8× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: trading volume is running 2.9× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-13 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
EYE at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Specialty Retail
- Market cap
- $1.47B
- P/E (fwd)
- 15.8
- P/E (ttm)
- 30.0
- 52-week range
- $14.75–$30.02
- Off 52-week high
- 38.1%
- RSI (14)
- 49
- Volume vs avg
- 2.86×
- Score today
- 6.1/10