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EYENational Vision Holdings, Inc.Sell5.9·$17.87-2.83%

National Vision Holdings (EYE) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+37.4% vs estimateEPS $0.25 vs $0.18 estVerdict HoldSell

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$0.25
Estimate
$0.18
Surprise
+37.4%
Revenue (period 2026-07-04)
$498.8M
Score at report (before → after)
5.95.7/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

National Vision Holdings (EYE) beat the $0.18 estimate with diluted EPS of $0.25 — a large 37.4% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (5.9/10) to Sell at 5.7/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.

Current read · as of 2026-08-23

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates EYE Sell at 5.9/10.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +37.4% surprise compares with a +47.9% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-04.

What argues against it

  • Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0)
  • Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
  • Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$17.87
Price target
$24.99
Stop
$17.17
Upside to target
+39.8%
Reward-to-risk
3.6:1

The stock trades at 29.8× trailing but 14.8× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Risk check: RSI 20 — a level conventionally read as oversold.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-08-23 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Cyclical context

EYE at TrendMatrix's latest read

Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.

Industry
Specialty Retail
Market cap
$1.41B
P/E (fwd)
14.8
P/E (ttm)
29.8
52-week range
$14.75$30.02
Off 52-week high
40.5%
RSI (14)
20
Volume vs avg
1.06×
Score today
5.9/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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