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ENICEnel Chile S.A.Buy Wait5.4·$4.31-1.82%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Enel Chile's stock is trading above its price objective, yielding a negative expected return to the near-term target with a risk/reward ratio of -0.29-to-1, while options market participants are paying an unusually heavy premium to hedge downside — a put/call ratio of 4.00 that flags elevated institutional concern; the valuation appeal is genuine, but the current price already embeds the good news.

Thesis pillars

  • Stock Above Target Negative ReturnStable
  • Elevated Put Call Signals Institutional HedgingDeteriorating
  • Valuation Appeal Undercut By Growth GapDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Enel Chile S.A. (ENIC) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-28). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $4.09. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $4.31. Engine's entry $4.09 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-6.7% YoY), Negative free cash flow.

Enel Chile S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, operation, generation, distribution, transmission, transformation, and sale of electricity in Chile and internationally. It operates in two segments, Generation and Distribution and... Read more

$4.31-8.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#19 of 42 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.54%
IncomeYield4.39%(5y avg 5.66%)Payout12.24%sustainable
Entry $4.09(5% below current)Stop $3.87Target $4.44(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1
Analyst target$4.62+7.2%4 analysts
$4.44our TP
$4.31price
$4.62mean
$5

Wait for pullback to $4.09. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $4.31. Engine's entry $4.09 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-6.7% YoY), Negative free cash flow. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-6.7% YoY), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.3
P/E (Fwd)0.0
Mkt Cap$6.0B
EV/EBITDA8.2
Profit Mgn11.6%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth-1.7%
Beta0.46
Dividend4.39%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -1.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.1
Declining revenue: -2%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.29Resistance $4.53

Price Targets

$4
$4
$4
A.Upside-8.9%
A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.9% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ENIC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $4.09. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $4.31. Engine's entry $4.09 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-6.7% YoY), Negative free cash flow. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $4.44 (+3.0%), stop $3.87 (−11.4%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ENIC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $4.44 (-8.9% upside). Target $4.44 (+3.0%), stop $3.87 (−11.4%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Stop-loss: $3.87.

What are the risks of investing in ENIC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-6.7% YoY), Negative free cash flow.

Is ENIC overvalued or undervalued?

Enel Chile S.A. trades at a P/E of 11.3 (forward 0.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ENIC?

13 analysts cover ENIC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $5.

What does Enel Chile S.A. do?Enel Chile S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, operation, generation,...

Enel Chile S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, operation, generation, distribution, transmission, transformation, and sale of electricity in Chile and internationally. It operates in two segments, Generation and Distribution and Networks. The company generates and sells energy from renewable sources, including wind, hydroelectric, solar photovoltaic, and geothermal power, as well as energy storage systems; and transports and sells fuels. It is also involved in consulting services; financial assets investments; and civil and hydraulic engineering works. The company was formerly known as Enersis Chile S.A. and changed its name to Enel Chile S.A. in October 2016. Enel Chile S.A. was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Santiago, Chile. The company operates as a subsidiary of Enel SpA.

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