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EGBNEagle Bancorp, Inc.Sell5.1·$27.59-3.43%
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Eagle Bancorp, Inc. (EGBN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.59: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Eagle Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for EagleBank that provides commercial and consumer banking services primarily in the United States. The provide deposit services including business and personal checking accounts; and other deposit services, including... Read more

$27.59+4.0% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#198 of 225 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.71%(5y avg 4.83%)Payout53.57%sustainable
Stop $25.95Target $28.70(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$30.10+9.1%5 analysts
$28.70our TP
$27.59price
$30.10mean
$25
$34

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.59: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 18d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Eagle Bancorp, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-05T10:10:33Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202618d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-5.1% upside)
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$841M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-10.5%
Rev Growth35.3%
Beta0.96
Dividend0.71%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

IV94%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Moat
4.8
Piotroski F
5.6
Operating Margin
10.0
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.9
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
8.6
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 18d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.20Resistance $29.29

Price Targets

$26
$29
A.Upside+4.0%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (18d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EGBN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.59: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $25.95. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EGBN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.70 (+4.0% upside). Prior stop was $25.95. Stop-loss: $25.95.

What are the risks of investing in EGBN?

Target reached (-5.1% upside); Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0).

Is EGBN overvalued or undervalued?

Eagle Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EGBN?

11 analysts cover EGBN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Eagle Bancorp, Inc. do?Eagle Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for EagleBank that provides commercial and consumer banking...

Eagle Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for EagleBank that provides commercial and consumer banking services primarily in the United States. The provide deposit services including business and personal checking accounts; and other deposit services, including cash management services, business sweep accounts, lock boxes, remote deposit captures, account reconciliation services, merchant card services, safety deposit boxes, and automated clearing house origination, as well as after-hours depositories and ATM services. It also offers various commercial and consumer lending products comprising commercial loans for working capital, equipment purchases, real estate lines of credit, and government contract financing; asset based lending and accounts receivable financing; construction and commercial real estate loans; business equipment financing; consumer home equity lines of credit, personal lines of credit, and term loans; consumer installment loans, such as auto and personal loans; and personal credit cards. In addition, the company provides online and mobile banking services; insurance products and services through a referral program; and treasury management services. The company serves sole proprietors, small, medium, and middle-sized businesses, partnerships, corporations, and non-profit organizations and associations, as well as investors. Eagle Bancorp, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

Related stocks: NBN (Northeast Bank) · BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.) · NPB (Northpointe Bancshares, Inc.) · CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · COFS (ChoiceOne Financial Services, I)
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