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EAElectronic Arts Inc.Buy Wait6.0·$209.90+0.00%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Electronic Arts operates a high-quality franchise with 250% free cash flow conversion and a wide economic moat, but the stock is now trading above the analyst price target and the most recent quarter logged a 32% earnings miss — leaving the near-term risk/reward unfavorable and the setup suggesting patience is warranted before adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Cash ConversionStable
  • Earnings Execution GapImproving
  • Price Above Analyst TargetStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Electronic Arts Inc. (EA) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia

Wait for pullback to $209.14. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $209.90. Engine's entry $209.14 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.2% away).

Arts is a global leader in digital interactive entertainment. We develop, market, publish and deliver games, content and services that can be experienced on game consoles, PCs and mobile devices.

$209.90-14.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 8 Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.20%
IncomeYield0.00%(5y avg 0.52%)Payout17.76%sustainable
Entry $209.14(1 ATR pullback)Stop $208.02Target $241.15(default +15%)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$205.46-2.1%13 analysts
$241.15our TP
$209.90price
$205.46mean
$168
$241

Wait for pullback to $209.14. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $209.90. Engine's entry $209.14 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.30, quality 7.6/10, growth 8.6/10). Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15

Recent Developments — Electronic Arts Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Aug 4, 2026 MEDIUM Item 1.02: (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | (Commission File Number) | (I.R.S.
  • 8K Aug 4, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.01: (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | (Commission File Number) | (I.R.S.
  • 8K Aug 4, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | (Commission File Number) | (I.R.S.

Generated 2026-08-15T13:12:18Z.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.2% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)59.7
P/E (Fwd)21.7
Mkt Cap$52.9B
EV/EBITDA30.4
Profit Mgn13.8%
ROE16.5%
Rev Growth18.9%
Beta0.64
Dividend0.00%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C4.38bearish
IV37%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-04Item 1.02MEDIUM
    (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | (Commission File Number) | (I.R.S.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-08-04Item 3.01LOW
    (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | (Commission File Number) | (I.R.S.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-08-04Item 5.01MEDIUM
    (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | (Commission File Number) | (I.R.S.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-08-04Item 5.02MEDIUM
    (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | (Commission File Number) | (I.R.S.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
4.4
Growth Rank
7.5
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
81 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $204.83Resistance $210.20

Price Targets

$208
$209
$241
A.Upside-14.8%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.7%
Max %1.4%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for EA.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EA stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $209.14. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $209.90. Engine's entry $209.14 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.30, quality 7.6/10, growth 8.6/10). Target $241.15 (+14.9%), stop $208.02 (−0.9%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $241.15 (-14.8% upside). Target $241.15 (+14.9%), stop $208.02 (−0.9%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $208.02.

What are the risks of investing in EA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.2% away); Expensive valuation.

Is EA overvalued or undervalued?

Electronic Arts Inc. trades at a P/E of 59.7 (forward 21.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about EA?

29 analysts cover EA with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $205.

What does Electronic Arts Inc. do?Arts is a global leader in digital interactive entertainment. We develop, market, publish and deliver games, content...

Arts is a global leader in digital interactive entertainment. We develop, market, publish and deliver games, content and services that can be experienced on game consoles, PCs and mobile devices.

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