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EAElectronic Arts Inc.Sell5.5·$205.21-0.12%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Electronic Arts operates a high-quality franchise with 250% free cash flow conversion and a wide economic moat, but the stock is now trading above the analyst price target and the most recent quarter logged a 32% earnings miss — leaving the near-term risk/reward unfavorable and the setup suggesting patience is warranted before adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Cash ConversionStable
  • Earnings Execution GapStable
  • Price Above Analyst TargetStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Electronic Arts Inc. (EA) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $205.21 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.4% away).

Arts is a global leader in digital interactive entertainment. We develop, market, publish and deliver games, content and services that can be experienced on game consoles, PCs and mobile devices.

$205.21-1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#5 of 7 Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.31%
IncomeYield0.37%(5y avg 0.52%)Payout21.65%sustainable
Stop $203.31Target $201.88(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$205.86+0.3%14 analysts
$201.88our TP
$205.21price
$205.86mean
$168
$210

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $205.21 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Electronic Arts Inc.

Generated 2026-07-06T04:40:26Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)58.5
P/E (Fwd)21.2
Mkt Cap$51.5B
EV/EBITDA33.9
Profit Mgn11.8%
ROE13.5%
Rev Growth11.9%
Beta0.64
Dividend0.37%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C6.88bearish
IV39%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.4
Growth Rank
4.3
Quality Rank
5.1
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $201.80Resistance $206.00

Price Targets

$203
$202
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $205.21 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $203.31. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $201.88 (-1.6% upside). Prior stop was $203.31. Stop-loss: $203.31.

What are the risks of investing in EA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away).

Is EA overvalued or undervalued?

Electronic Arts Inc. trades at a P/E of 58.5 (forward 21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EA?

29 analysts cover EA with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $206.

What does Electronic Arts Inc. do?Arts is a global leader in digital interactive entertainment. We develop, market, publish and deliver games, content...

Arts is a global leader in digital interactive entertainment. We develop, market, publish and deliver games, content and services that can be experienced on game consoles, PCs and mobile devices.

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