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EAElectronic Arts Inc.Hold5.7·$208.65-0.17%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Electronic Arts operates a high-quality franchise with 250% free cash flow conversion and a wide economic moat, but the stock is now trading above the analyst price target and the most recent quarter logged a 32% earnings miss — leaving the near-term risk/reward unfavorable and the setup suggesting patience is warranted before adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Cash ConversionStable
  • Earnings Execution GapDeteriorating
  • Price Above Analyst TargetStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Electronic Arts Inc. (EA) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-28). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $208.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away).

Arts is a global leader in digital interactive entertainment. We develop, market, publish and deliver games, content and services that can be experienced on game consoles, PCs and mobile devices.

$208.65-14.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#5 of 7 Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.23%
IncomeYield0.36%(5y avg 0.52%)Payout21.65%sustainable
Entry $202.25(200-day MA)Stop $200.65Target $205.15(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$205.79-1.4%14 analysts
$205.15our TP
$208.65price
$205.79mean
$168

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $208.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $209.06 has reached target $205.15. No upside to wait for. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.1% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)59.6
P/E (Fwd)21.7
Mkt Cap$52.4B
EV/EBITDA34.5
Profit Mgn11.8%
ROE13.5%
Rev Growth11.9%
Beta0.64
Dividend0.36%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C4.52bearish
IV37%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
4.3
Quality Rank
5.1

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
5.5
Peg Ratio
5.8
Forward Pe
5.9
Forward P/E: 21.7xPEG: 1.30
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
82 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $204.83Resistance $209.34

Price Targets

$201
$202
$205
A.Upside-14.4%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.4% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $208.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $209.06 has reached target $205.15. No upside to wait for. Target $205.15 (-1.7%), stop $200.65 (−4.0%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $205.15 (-14.4% upside). Target $205.15 (-1.7%), stop $200.65 (−4.0%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $200.65.

What are the risks of investing in EA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away).

Is EA overvalued or undervalued?

Electronic Arts Inc. trades at a P/E of 59.6 (forward 21.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EA?

29 analysts cover EA with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $206.

What does Electronic Arts Inc. do?Arts is a global leader in digital interactive entertainment. We develop, market, publish and deliver games, content...

Arts is a global leader in digital interactive entertainment. We develop, market, publish and deliver games, content and services that can be experienced on game consoles, PCs and mobile devices.

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