HF Sinclair (DINO) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $11.75
- Estimate
- $7.83
- Surprise
- +50.1%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $10.86B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.4 → 6.7/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
HF Sinclair (DINO) beat the $7.83 estimate with adjusted EPS of $11.75 — a large 50.1% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.4/10) to Hold at 6.7/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates DINO Hold at 6.7/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +50.1% surprise compares with a +411.1% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
What argues against it
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Target reached (-1.8% upside)
- Momentum score 4.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $111.96
- Stop
- $104.21
Forward estimates sit below the trailing run-rate (7.0× forward vs 5.7× trailing) — consensus expects earnings to decline from here.
Risk check: trading volume is running 1.5× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
DINO at TrendMatrix's latest read
Energy results are commodity-price arithmetic first; the operational beat or miss is read net of what the strip already told the market.
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
- Market cap
- $19.90B
- P/E (fwd)
- 7.0
- P/E (ttm)
- 5.7
- 52-week range
- $45.71–$129.37
- Off 52-week high
- 13.5%
- RSI (14)
- 37
- Volume vs avg
- 1.50×
- Score today
- 6.7/10