Dollar General (DG) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $2.48
- Estimate
- $2.01
- Surprise
- +23.5%
- Revenue (period 2026-07-31)
- $11.29B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.4 → 5.4/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Dollar General (DG) beat the $2.01 estimate with diluted EPS of $2.48 — a large 23.5% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Sell (5.4/10) to Hold at 5.4/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates DG Hold at 5.6/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +23.5% surprise compares with a +21.5% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-12-03.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Product: Consumables (82.0%)
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $133.46
- Price target
- $153.46
- Stop
- $125.12
- Upside to target
- +15.0%
At 17.0× trailing and 15.9× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Risk check: RSI 73 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
DG at TrendMatrix's latest read
Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.
- Industry
- Discount Stores
- Market cap
- $28.96B
- P/E (fwd)
- 15.9
- P/E (ttm)
- 17.0
- 52-week range
- $95.11–$158.23
- Off 52-week high
- 15.7%
- RSI (14)
- 73
- Volume vs avg
- 0.36×
- Score today
- 5.6/10