Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $1.34
- Estimate
- $1.31
- Surprise
- +2.5%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $994.3M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.9 → 5.8/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) beat the $1.31 estimate with adjusted EPS of $1.34 — a modest 2.5% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.9/10) to Sell at 5.8/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Coverage in the report window
- Diebold Nixdorf Lowers FY2026 Adj EPS Guidance from $5.25-$5.75 to $4.50-$4.85 vs $5.46 Est; Narrows FY2026 Sales Guidan — benzinga, 2026-10-28
- Diebold Nixdorf Q3 Adj. EPS $1.34 Misses $1.38 Estimate, Sales $994.300M Beat $971.706M Estimate — benzinga, 2026-10-28
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates DBD Sell at 5.8/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +2.5% surprise compares with a +19.4% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%)
- Concentration risk — Product: Banking segment (73.5%)
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $58.07
- Price target
- $83.58
- Stop
- $54.01
- Upside to target
- +43.9%
- Reward-to-risk
- 4.8:1
The stock trades at 27.5× trailing but 8.3× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: trading volume is running 4.1× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
DBD at TrendMatrix's latest read
Technology names get repriced on forward expectations more than trailing prints — a quarter here is read through next-year growth and multiple, not the EPS line alone.
- Industry
- Software - Application
- Market cap
- $1.97B
- P/E (fwd)
- 8.3
- P/E (ttm)
- 27.5
- 52-week range
- $54.48–$92.08
- Off 52-week high
- 36.9%
- RSI (14)
- 38
- Volume vs avg
- 4.12×
- Score today
- 5.8/10