Circle Internet Group (CRCL) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $0.18
- Estimate
- $0.16
- Surprise
- +13.6%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $33.6M
- Score today
- 5.4/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat the $0.16 estimate with diluted EPS of $0.18 — a large 13.6% upside surprise.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates CRCL Hold at 5.4/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +13.6% surprise compares with a +107.8% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-11.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
- Positive news sentiment (+0.52)
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Product: stablecoin reserve income
- Earnings expected to decline ~67% (cyclical peak)
- Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $80.45
- Price target
- $90.96
- Stop
- $73.09
- Upside to target
- +13.1%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.1:1
Forward estimates sit below the trailing run-rate (45.1× forward vs 14.9× trailing) — consensus expects earnings to decline from here.
Risk check: RSI 70 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum; trading volume is running 2.0× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-08-20 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
CRCL at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Capital Markets
- Market cap
- $19.55B
- P/E (fwd)
- 45.1
- P/E (ttm)
- 14.9
- 52-week range
- $49.90–$159.47
- Off 52-week high
- 49.6%
- RSI (14)
- 70
- Volume vs avg
- 2.01×
- Score today
- 5.4/10