Circle Internet Group (CRCL) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.18
- Estimate
- $0.16
- Surprise
- +13.6%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $33.6M
- Score today
- 4.8/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat the $0.16 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.18 — a large 13.6% upside surprise.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates CRCL Sell at 4.8/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +13.6% surprise compares with a +107.8% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-11.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Product: stablecoin reserve income
- Earnings expected to decline ~69% (cyclical peak)
- Thin upside margin: 9.8%
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $85.80
- Price target
- $94.21
- Stop
- $79.79
- Upside to target
- +9.8%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.7:1
Forward estimates sit below the trailing run-rate (58.2× forward vs 17.8× trailing) — consensus expects earnings to decline from here.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
CRCL at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Capital Markets
- Market cap
- $24.26B
- P/E (fwd)
- 58.2
- P/E (ttm)
- 17.8
- 52-week range
- $49.90–$159.47
- Off 52-week high
- 46.2%
- RSI (14)
- 41
- Volume vs avg
- 0.64×
- Score today
- 4.8/10