Value
8.2/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 10.0 |
| P/S | 8.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.8 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.6 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 7.8x
- ▸Attractively valued
CNX · Why this verdict
Why CNX Resources (CNX) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score7.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 9.4 |
| ROA | 7.3 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 2.0 |
| FCF quality | 2.8 |
| Moat | 8.2 |
| Rule of 40 | 7.8 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 28%
- ▸Strong margins: 53%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 35% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
Growth
9.5/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 9.5 |
- ▸Strong growth: 28% YoY
Momentum
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 6.8 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 1.4 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 7.4 |
| erm sentiment | 7.1 |
- ▸Estimates rising as sentiment proxy (+5.3%)
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 7.5 |
| quality rank | 9.0 |
| growth rank | 7.0 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.8 |
| support resistance | 8.0 |
| 52w position | 5.2 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 2.6 |
| days to cover | 2.0 |
| volatility | 6.2 |
| put call | 9.4 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 9.5 |
| debt equity | 7.7 |
- ▸High IV: 90%
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 HIGH, 2 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
8.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 7.5 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
- ▸Estimates up 5.3% (30d)
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Fundamentals strong but target reached (1.8% upside).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_A_DEEP_VALUE|V8:TARGET_REACHED|ENTRY_STICKY:WITHIN_BANDPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:4.8>=4.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:37d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:0.3<1.5@spot
Warning (1)
- MOMENTUM:4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
0.35
Upside
+1.8%
Downside
5.1%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $4.7B<$5B
Investment implication
The STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict reflects the ASYMMETRY gate's 0.3<1.5@spot outcome against Growth at 9.5 and asymmetric R:R of 0.35.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 9.5, Value at 8.2, and Catalyst at 8.1; the weakest are Momentum at 4.8, Insider at 5.0, and Risk (lower is worse) at 5.3. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.35 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.