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CMPRCimpress PLCHold5.5·$97.78+0.44%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cimpress offers exceptional free-cash-flow conversion at 298% of net income and three consecutive earnings beats — including a 214% upside surprise in the most recent quarter — but an extreme risk profile combining high short interest (13%), a put/call ratio of 6.80, and implied volatility at 91% makes this an aggressive-suitability setup despite the favorable technical and quality signals.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow ConversionStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak AccelerationStable
  • Oversold Bounce Technical SetupDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Cimpress PLC (CMPR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Earnings in 4 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $97.78, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Cimpress PLC produces customized print and promotional products through a collection of autonomous businesses, generating $3.4 billion in revenue in fiscal year 2025. Revenue comes from online orders across five segments serving small businesses and print professionals in North... Read more

$97.78-3.1% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#16 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.73%
Stop $90.94Target $104.45(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$111.50+14.0%2 analysts
$104.45our TP
$97.78price
$111.50mean
$113

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $97.78, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Cimpress PLC

About Cimpress PLC

Cimpress PLC generated $3.4 billion in revenue in fiscal year 2025 — up from $0.2 billion in fiscal year 2006 when it became publicly traded — organized across five reportable segments led by the Vista brand, which serves approximately 11 million small businesses annually with print and promotional products. The company employs more than 15,000 people across facilities in the U.S., Canada, Mexico, Australia, Brazil, and throughout Europe, totaling approximately 3 million square feet of production space.

Cimpress earns revenue through online orders on a web-to-print model, aggregating high volumes of individually small customized orders. The Vista segment serves small businesses at average order values above $90 and average annual spend of about $150, with gross margins of roughly 55% and advertising spend of about 15% of revenue. The Upload & Print segments serve graphic professionals including local printers and advertising agencies at average order values of €100–€175 and annual customer spend of €300–€900, with gross margins averaging about 32% due to wholesale-like pricing. Production runs across company-operated facilities and hundreds of third-party fulfillers globally. Revenue is highly seasonal: the second fiscal quarter (ending December 31) generates a disproportionately large share of annual earnings due to holiday demand for cards, calendars, photo books, and personalized gifts, and lower-than-expected second-quarter sales have a disproportionately large impact on full-year results.

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The trade environment subjects Cimpress to layered policy risk. A manufacturing facility in Ontario, Canada primarily services the Vista business; if sustained U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports are imposed and enforced for any meaningful period, operating costs could increase materially. The company's U.S.-imported printed products currently benefit from the 'informational materials' exclusion under IEEPA; separately, H.R. 1, Pub. L. 119-21 eliminates the de minimis exemption from import taxes (19 U.S.C. § 1321(a)(2)(C)) effective July 1, 2027, and a recent executive order may end it as early as August 29, 2025. These two channels could simultaneously weigh on margins if they materialize in overlapping periods.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Business Services

From Cimpress PLC's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)53.4
P/E (Fwd)17.4
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA11.6
Profit Mgn1.2%
ROE
Rev Growth12.3%
Beta1.79
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.26bullish
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $88.55Resistance $106.58

Price Targets

$91
$104
A.Upside-3.1%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.1% upside)
! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CMPR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $97.78, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $104.45 (+6.8%), stop $90.94 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CMPR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $104.45 (-3.1% upside). Target $104.45 (+6.8%), stop $90.94 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $90.94.

What are the risks of investing in CMPR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is CMPR overvalued or undervalued?

Cimpress PLC trades at a P/E of 53.4 (forward 17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CMPR?

8 analysts cover CMPR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $112.

What does Cimpress PLC do?Cimpress PLC produces customized print and promotional products through a collection of autonomous businesses,...

Cimpress PLC produces customized print and promotional products through a collection of autonomous businesses, generating $3.4 billion in revenue in fiscal year 2025. Revenue comes from online orders across five segments serving small businesses and print professionals in North America, Western Europe, Australia, and New Zealand, with the Vista brand serving approximately 11 million small businesses annually.

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