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CMPRCimpress PLCSell6.0·$87.44-1.09%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cimpress offers exceptional free-cash-flow conversion at 298% of net income and three consecutive earnings beats — including a 214% upside surprise in the most recent quarter — but an extreme risk profile combining high short interest (13%), a put/call ratio of 6.80, and implied volatility at 91% makes this an aggressive-suitability setup despite the favorable technical and quality signals.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow ConversionStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak AccelerationStable
  • Oversold Bounce Technical SetupDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Cimpress PLC (CMPR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $87.44 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Cimpress PLC is a holding company for print mass-customization businesses -- led by its Vista (VistaPrint) brand plus PrintBrothers and The Print Group -- that produce individually customized business cards, marketing materials, signage, packaging, and promotional products in... Read more

$87.44+11.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.41%
Stop $83.03Target $97.33(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$114.50+30.9%2 analysts
$97.33our TP
$87.44price
$114.50mean
$121

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $87.44 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Cimpress PLC

About Cimpress PLC

Cimpress PLC generated $3.4 billion of revenue in fiscal 2025 across five reportable segments led by its Vista (VistaPrint) business, which serves about 11 million small businesses annually. The company operates roughly 3 million square feet of owned production space across facilities in North America, Western Europe, Australia, Brazil, and India, supplemented by hundreds of external fulfillment partners. Cimpress employs more than 15,000 people, with only about 100 working in centralized corporate functions.

Revenue is generated primarily through e-commerce orders for customized print and promotional products: Vista's flagship VistaPrint site posted a fiscal 2025 average order value above $90 and roughly 55% gross margins, while the wholesale-oriented PrintBrothers and The Print Group segments serve professional printers and resellers at average order values of about €100-€175 and thinner gross margins near 32%. The company's central mass-customization platform, India-based design talent pool, and centralized procurement of capital equipment, shipping, and raw materials are the only functions run centrally; each operating business otherwise sets its own strategy. Cimpress is exposed to input costs including paper, ink, and packaging materials, freight and tariff policy across its manufacturing footprint in Canada, Mexico, the United States, Australia, Brazil, and Europe, and currency translation given its multinational revenue base, which it partially manages through interest-rate and currency derivatives.

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Cimpress's pricing power is comparatively weak: none of its five segments sell under long-term contracts, and the 10-K states demand is highly price-sensitive, so rising raw-material, energy, or tariff costs may not be fully passable to customers. That exposure compounds with seasonal concentration -- the fiscal second quarter (ending December 31), driven by holiday cards, photo books, and National Pen's promotional products, has historically produced a disproportionate share of full-year earnings, so a single-quarter shortfall has an outsized effect on annual results. The filing also flags the elimination of the de minimis import-duty exemption, expected as soon as August 29, 2025, as a specific near-term cost pressure.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Business Services

From Cimpress PLC's most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 23, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.3
P/E (Fwd)15.7
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA11.3
Profit Mgn2.6%
ROE
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta1.82
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.25bearish
IV48%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Macd
6.6
Rsi
7.9
Uptrend pullback (RSI 36) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $85.60Resistance $99.58

Price Targets

$83
$97
A.Upside+11.3%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CMPR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $87.44 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $83.03. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CMPR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $97.33 (+11.3% upside). Prior stop was $83.03. Stop-loss: $83.03.

What are the risks of investing in CMPR?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is CMPR overvalued or undervalued?

Cimpress PLC trades at a P/E of 23.3 (forward 15.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CMPR?

8 analysts cover CMPR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $115.

What does Cimpress PLC do?Cimpress PLC is a holding company for print mass-customization businesses -- led by its Vista (VistaPrint) brand plus...

Cimpress PLC is a holding company for print mass-customization businesses -- led by its Vista (VistaPrint) brand plus PrintBrothers and The Print Group -- that produce individually customized business cards, marketing materials, signage, packaging, and promotional products in high volumes at low per-unit cost, generating $3.4 billion of revenue in fiscal 2025. The company runs a decentralized structure across more than 15,000 employees, with each business unit led by its own CEO while Cimpress centrally provides a shared mass-customization software platform, India-based design talent, and cent

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