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CMPRCimpress PLCSell5.7·$94.46-2.96%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cimpress offers exceptional free-cash-flow conversion at 298% of net income and three consecutive earnings beats — including a 214% upside surprise in the most recent quarter — but an extreme risk profile combining high short interest (13%), a put/call ratio of 6.80, and implied volatility at 91% makes this an aggressive-suitability setup despite the favorable technical and quality signals.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow ConversionStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak AccelerationStable
  • Oversold Bounce Technical SetupImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Cimpress PLC (CMPR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $94.46: Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.46; Below-average business quality.

Cimpress PLC is a print mass-customization holding company operating a decentralized portfolio of businesses — anchored by Vista (VistaPrint) — that deliver customized business cards, marketing materials, signage, promotional products, packaging, and design services to small and... Read more

$94.46+3.0% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#9 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.31%
Stop $87.85Target $97.33(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$114.50+21.2%2 analysts
$97.33our TP
$94.46price
$114.50mean
$121

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $94.46: Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.46; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Cimpress PLC

About Cimpress PLC

Cimpress PLC generated $3.4 billion in revenue in fiscal 2025 through a decentralized portfolio of print mass-customization businesses organized into five reportable segments, led by Vista (VistaPrint), which serves about 11 million small businesses annually with an average order value above $90 and roughly 55% gross margins. The Upload & Print segments, PrintBrothers and The Print Group, sell mainly to graphic professionals across Europe at about 32% gross margins. Cimpress employs more than 15,000 people worldwide, with fewer than 100 in centralized corporate functions.

Cimpress earns revenue by aggregating large volumes of small, individually customized print orders — business cards, marketing materials, signage, promotional products, apparel, packaging, photo merchandise, and design services — into standardized production runs that achieve near-mass-production efficiency, a model the company calls mass customization. Its Vista business sells directly to millions of small businesses online, converting e-commerce collections received ahead of production into strong free cash flow, while its PrintBrothers and The Print Group segments serve graphic professionals, local printers, and resellers on a more wholesale-like basis with lower advertising intensity. The company invests centrally in only a few shared capabilities — its cloud-based mass customization platform, design and production talent based in India, large-scale procurement of capital equipment and raw materials, and cross-business knowledge sharing — while leaving most operating decisions to autonomous business unit leaders. Cimpress also grows through acquisitions, having built long-tail production scale via Exaprint, Printdeal, Pixartprinting, and WIRmachenDRUCK, and supplements owned production with hundreds of third-party fulfillment partners globally.

Show full overview

Cimpress carries a narrow but consequential legal dependency on how U.S. tariff law classifies printed goods: certain recent tariffs rely on the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, which explicitly excludes 'informational materials' from presidential import authority, and the company says its financial results could be materially hurt if it cannot rely on that exclusion for most of its U.S.-imported printed products. Compounding that risk, the de minimis import-duty exemption the company currently benefits from is set to end — originally scheduled for July 1, 2027 under H.R. 1, but the company now expects termination as early as August 29, 2025 under a separate executive order — a timeline compression that could raise landed costs on shipments from its manufacturing facilities in Canada, Mexico, and elsewhere.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Business Services

From Cimpress PLC's most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202674d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.7
P/E (Fwd)16.8
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn2.6%
ROE
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta1.82
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.46bearish
IV60%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Volatile — 5.7% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Short Interest
2.9
Implied Vol
3.4
Beta
3.9
Elevated put/call: 2.46
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $82.00Resistance $104.42

Price Targets

$88
$97
A.Upside+3.0%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CMPR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $94.46: Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.46; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $87.85. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CMPR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $97.33 (+3.0% upside). Prior stop was $87.85. Stop-loss: $87.85.

What are the risks of investing in CMPR?

Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0).

Is CMPR overvalued or undervalued?

Cimpress PLC trades at a P/E of 25.7 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CMPR?

8 analysts cover CMPR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $115.

What does Cimpress PLC do?Cimpress PLC is a print mass-customization holding company operating a decentralized portfolio of businesses — anchored...

Cimpress PLC is a print mass-customization holding company operating a decentralized portfolio of businesses — anchored by Vista (VistaPrint) — that deliver customized business cards, marketing materials, signage, promotional products, packaging, and design services to small and medium businesses primarily in North America, Western Europe, Australia, and New Zealand. The company grew revenue from near zero in 1995 to $3.4 billion in fiscal 2025, organized into five reportable segments including Vista, PrintBrothers, and The Print Group.

Related stocks: CASS (Cass Information Systems, Inc) · KODK (Eastman Kodak Company) · QUAD (Quad Graphics, Inc) · DLB (Dolby Laboratories) · RBA (RB Global, Inc.)
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