Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.35
- Estimate
- $0.31
- Surprise
- +11.3%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $3.0M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.2 → 6.3/10
Revenue source: yfinance_provisional (provisional — SEC XBRL not yet filed for this period).
How the report landed
Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD) beat the $0.31 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.35 — a large 11.3% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.2/10) to Sell at 6.3/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates CGBD Sell at 5.6/10.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +11.3% surprise compares with a -1.0% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-03.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
- Consecutive earnings misses (2)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $10.50
- Price target
- $10.75
- Stop
- $10.18
- Upside to target
- +2.4%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.5:1
The stock trades at 21.0× trailing but 7.3× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-07 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
CGBD at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Asset Management
- Market cap
- $722.4M
- P/E (fwd)
- 7.3
- P/E (ttm)
- 21.0
- 52-week range
- $9.95–$13.28
- Off 52-week high
- 20.9%
- RSI (14)
- 33
- Volume vs avg
- 1.26×
- Score today
- 5.6/10