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CGBDCarlyle Secured Lending, Inc.Sell5.7·$11.39-0.61%

Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+11.3% vs estimateEPS $0.35 vs $0.31 estVerdict Buy (Wait)Sell

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$0.35
Estimate
$0.31
Surprise
+11.3%
Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
$3.0M
Score at report (before → after)
6.26.3/10

Revenue source: yfinance_provisional (provisional — SEC XBRL not yet filed for this period).

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD) beat the $0.31 estimate with diluted EPS of $0.35 — a large 11.3% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.2/10) to Sell at 6.3/10 after the report.

Current read · as of 2026-09-17

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates CGBD Sell at 5.7/10.

2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +11.3% surprise compares with a -1.0% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-03.

What supports the rating

  • Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
  • Attractive valuation

What argues against it

  • Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
  • Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
  • Consecutive earnings misses (2)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$11.39
Price target
$11.86
Stop
$10.88
Upside to target
+4.1%

The stock trades at 22.5× trailing but 8.0× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-17 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Financial Services context

CGBD at TrendMatrix's latest read

For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.

Industry
Asset Management
Market cap
$788.5M
P/E (fwd)
8.0
P/E (ttm)
22.5
52-week range
$9.95$13.60
Off 52-week high
16.2%
RSI (14)
52
Volume vs avg
0.68×
Score today
5.7/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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