The Carlyle Group (CG) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $1.07
- Estimate
- $0.91
- Surprise
- +18.0%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.4 → 5.3/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
The Carlyle Group (CG) beat the $0.91 estimate with adjusted EPS of $1.07 — a large 18.0% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.4/10) to Sell at 5.3/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates CG Sell at 4.3/10.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +18.0% surprise compares with a +2.8% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-29.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0
- Consecutive earnings misses (2)
- Weak overall score: 4.3/10
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $39.42
- Price target
- $52.41
- Stop
- $37.60
- Upside to target
- +33.0%
- Reward-to-risk
- 4.6:1
The stock trades at 42.0× trailing but 7.8× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 9 — a level conventionally read as oversold.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-24 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
CG at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Asset Management
- Market cap
- $14.22B
- P/E (fwd)
- 7.8
- P/E (ttm)
- 42.0
- 52-week range
- $39.16–$67.47
- Off 52-week high
- 41.6%
- RSI (14)
- 9
- Volume vs avg
- 0.88×
- Score today
- 4.3/10