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CGThe Carlyle Group Inc.Sell4.2·$46.97-1.63%

The Carlyle Group (CG) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+18.0% vs estimateEPS $1.07 vs $0.91 estVerdict Buy (Wait)Sell

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$1.07
Estimate
$0.91
Surprise
+18.0%
Score at report (before → after)
5.45.3/10

Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

The Carlyle Group (CG) beat the $0.91 estimate with diluted EPS of $1.07 — a large 18.0% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.4/10) to Sell at 5.3/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.

Current read · as of 2026-09-04

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates CG Sell at 4.2/10.

2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +18.0% surprise compares with a +2.8% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-29.

What supports the rating

  • Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0

What argues against it

  • Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0
  • Consecutive earnings misses (2)
  • Weak overall score: 4.2/10

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$46.97
Price target
$52.31
Stop
$44.76
Upside to target
+11.4%
Reward-to-risk
1.9:1

The stock trades at 49.2× trailing but 9.3× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Financial Services context

CG at TrendMatrix's latest read

For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.

Industry
Asset Management
Market cap
$17.01B
P/E (fwd)
9.3
P/E (ttm)
49.2
52-week range
$39.60$69.85
Off 52-week high
32.8%
RSI (14)
42
Volume vs avg
0.51×
Score today
4.2/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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