Value
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 1.6 |
| P/S | 8.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.2 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 14.3x
- ▸PEG: 0.31
- ▸Attractively valued
CELH · Why this verdict
Why Celsius Holdings (CELH) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 2.7 |
| ROA | 7.6 |
| Gross margin | 6.1 |
| Op margin | 7.9 |
| Net margin | 2.9 |
| Current ratio | 6.3 |
| FCF quality | 7.1 |
| Moat | 7.9 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 138% YoY
Momentum
4.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 7.1 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 0.7 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
8.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 7.5 |
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
| Price target | 10.0 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.50 (n=2)
- ▸Analyst upside: 111%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.3/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.7 |
| quality rank | 1.2 |
| growth rank | 9.2 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
4.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.4 |
| support resistance | 7.8 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 3.7 |
| days to cover | 7.8 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 9.6 |
| implied vol | 2.0 |
| max pain risk | 7.0 |
| beta | 7.6 |
| debt equity | 9.1 |
- ▸High IV: 68%
Catalyst
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| news activity | 6.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=+2|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLEPassed (8)
- MOMENTUM:4.7>=4.5
- ASYMMETRY:7.5>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:56d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (1)
- MOMENTUM:4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
7.47
Upside
+89.5%
Downside
12.0%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:4.7>=4.5. Top dim: Growth at 10.0; weakest: Peer rank at 3.3. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Sentiment at 8.2, and Value at 7.3; the weakest are Peer rank at 3.3, Technical at 4.7, and Momentum at 4.7. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 7.47 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.