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BTGB2Gold CorpBuy Wait6.7·$5.59-1.67%

B2Gold (BTG) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

MISS-58.9% vs estimateEPS $0.03 vs $0.07 estVerdict HoldSell

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$0.03
Estimate
$0.07
Surprise
-58.9%
Score at report (before → after)
7.27.3/10

Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

B2Gold (BTG) missed the $0.07 estimate with diluted EPS of $0.03 — a large 58.9% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (7.2/10) to Sell at 7.3/10 after the report — the engine's score rose despite the miss.

Current read · as of 2026-09-04

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates BTG Buy (Wait) at 6.7/10.

2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -58.9% surprise compares with a -5.3% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-04.

What supports the rating

  • V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
  • Earnings estimates trending UP

What argues against it

  • Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.4× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.53× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
  • Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
  • Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$5.59
Entry target
$4.65
Price target
$5.78
Stop
$4.15
Upside to target
+3.4%

The stock trades at 10.2× trailing but 5.4× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Basic Materials context

BTG at TrendMatrix's latest read

Materials producers report against the commodity cycle — realized-price capture and volume, not the EPS line, are the tells in a quarter like this.

Industry
Gold
Market cap
$7.52B
P/E (fwd)
5.4
P/E (ttm)
10.2
52-week range
$3.57$6.29
Off 52-week high
11.1%
RSI (14)
58
Volume vs avg
0.58×
Score today
6.7/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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