BP p.l.c. (BP) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $2.22
- Estimate
- $1.78
- Surprise
- +24.6%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.4 → 5.5/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
BP p.l.c. (BP) beat the $1.78 estimate with adjusted EPS of $2.22 — a large 24.6% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (5.4/10) to Buy (Wait) at 5.5/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates BP Hold at 6.1/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +24.6% surprise compares with a +16.8% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-30.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
What argues against it
- Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.44× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $45.41
- Price target
- $52.22
- Stop
- $43.13
- Upside to target
- +15.0%
The stock trades at 20.6× trailing but 9.1× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-24 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
BP at TrendMatrix's latest read
Energy results are commodity-price arithmetic first; the operational beat or miss is read net of what the strip already told the market.
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Integrated
- Market cap
- $114.58B
- P/E (fwd)
- 9.1
- P/E (ttm)
- 20.6
- 52-week range
- $32.72–$48.27
- Off 52-week high
- 5.9%
- RSI (14)
- 59
- Volume vs avg
- 0.10×
- Score today
- 6.1/10