Boot Barn Holdings (BOOT) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $1.73
- Estimate
- $1.63
- Surprise
- +6.3%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-26)
- $581.8M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.6 → 6.5/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Boot Barn Holdings (BOOT) beat the $1.63 estimate with adjusted EPS of $1.73 — a clear 6.3% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.6/10) to Sell at 6.5/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Coverage in the report window
- Baird Maintains Outperform on Boot Barn Holdings, Lowers Price Target to $145 — benzinga, 2026-10-29
- Boot Barn Holdings Lowers FY2027 GAAP EPS Guidance from $8.80-$9.23 to $8.72-$9.00 vs $9.09 Est; Lowers FY2027 Sales Gui — benzinga, 2026-10-28
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates BOOT Sell at 6.5/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +6.3% surprise compares with a +3.1% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
- Negative momentum
- Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $113.30
- Price target
- $183.24
- Stop
- $107.21
- Upside to target
- +61.7%
- Reward-to-risk
- 6.5:1
The stock trades at 14.3× trailing but 11.4× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
BOOT at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Apparel Retail
- Market cap
- $3.43B
- P/E (fwd)
- 11.4
- P/E (ttm)
- 14.3
- 52-week range
- $110.53–$210.25
- Off 52-week high
- 46.1%
- RSI (14)
- 39
- Volume vs avg
- 1.08×
- Score today
- 6.5/10