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BKEBuckle, Inc. (The)Buy Wait6.4·$44.44-1.88%
BKE · Why this verdict

Why Buckle, Inc. (The) (BKE) is rated BUY WAIT

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

9.1/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/E8.9
P/S9.1
EV/EBITDA7.1
Fwd P/E9.2
PEG10.0
  • Forward P/E: 10.8x
  • PEG: 0.34
  • Attractively valued

Quality

8.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE10.0
ROA10.0
Gross margin7.7
Op margin8.2
Net margin8.4
Current ratio7.1
FCF quality5.5
Moat6.9
Piotroski F8.9
  • Excellent ROE: 49%
  • Strong margins: 17%
  • Earnings quality warning: 73% FCF/NI
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Growth

6.2/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth4.0
EPS growth8.3

Momentum

4.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.5
MACD8.2
OBV10.0
MA position1.5
Volume0.0
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Sentiment

5.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target5.8
erm sentiment5.0

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

5.3/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank5.0
quality rank8.7
growth rank2.5
  • Superior ROE vs peers
  • Best-in-class margins

Technical

6.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger6.9
support resistance7.8
52w position5.6

Risk (lower is worse)

3.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest4.3
days to cover2.0
volatility3.0
put call0.0
implied vol0.0
max pain risk7.0
beta7.1
debt equity5.6
  • Elevated put/call: 4.80
  • High IV: 276%
  • Concentration risks: 2 MED (10-K Item 1A)

Catalyst

6.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg7.2
dividend safety5.2
  • Perfect beat streak: 4Q
  • Dividend: 309.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Exceptional fundamentals but wait for better entry timing.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_B_EXCEPTIONAL_WAIT|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLE
Passed (6)
  • MOMENTUM:4.6>=4.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:67d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • ASYMMETRY:-1.3=NEGATIVE
  • DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (2)
  • MOMENTUM:4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
  • 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
-1.34
Upside
-10.2%
Downside
7.6%
Sizing output
STARTER

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE MCap $2.3B<$5B

Investment implication

The STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict reflects the ASYMMETRY gate's -1.3=NEGATIVE outcome against Value at 9.1 and asymmetric R:R of -1.34.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.1, Quality at 8.1, and Technical at 6.8; the weakest are Risk (lower is worse) at 3.6, Momentum at 4.6, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.34 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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