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BHPBHP Group LimitedHold6.1·$85.25+0.57%

BHP Group (BHP) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

IN LINEEPS vs estVerdict Buy (Wait)Hold

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
Estimate
Surprise
Score at report (before → after)
6.16.3/10

Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.1/10) to Hold at 6.3/10 after the report.

Current read · as of 2026-09-17

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates BHP Hold at 6.1/10.

2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate. Next scheduled report: 2027-02-15.

What supports the rating

  • V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.3 in RISK_OFF)
  • High-quality business

What argues against it

  • Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
  • Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
  • Consecutive earnings misses (2)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$85.25
Price target
$94.69
Stop
$80.77
Upside to target
+11.1%

The stock trades at 22.0× trailing but 18.1× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Risk check: RSI 17 — a level conventionally read as oversold.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-17 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Basic Materials context

BHP at TrendMatrix's latest read

Materials producers report against the commodity cycle — realized-price capture and volume, not the EPS line, are the tells in a quarter like this.

Industry
Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Market cap
$215.44B
P/E (fwd)
18.1
P/E (ttm)
22.0
52-week range
$51.83$98.71
Off 52-week high
13.6%
RSI (14)
17
Volume vs avg
0.76×
Score today
6.1/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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