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ATRCAtriCure, Inc.Sell5.5·$31.31+5.31%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

AtriCure has demonstrated consistent earnings execution with three consecutive beats and substantial analyst upside of 46%, but a confirmed price downtrend and elevated options hedging create near-term headwinds that must resolve before the fundamental case translates into price appreciation.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak ExecutionStable
  • Fcf Positive Despite Gaap LossesStable
  • Analyst Upside Favorable AsymmetryStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AtriCure, Inc. (ATRC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $31.31: Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Concentration risk — Supplier: single and limited source third-party vendors.

AtriCure develops surgical devices for treating atrial fibrillation (Afib), left atrial appendage management, and post-operative pain, including its Isolator Synergy and EnCompass ablation clamps, AtriClip LAA exclusion system, and cryoICE/cryoSPHERE Cryo Nerve Block probes. The... Read more

$31.31+28.6% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#12 of 32 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.55%
Stop $29.56Target $40.89(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$47.00+50.1%8 analysts
$40.89our TP
$31.31price
$47.00mean
$55

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $31.31: Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Concentration risk — Supplier: single and limited source third-party vendors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About AtriCure, Inc.

About AtriCure, Inc.

AtriCure's AtriClip left atrial appendage exclusion system has treated more than 750,000 patients worldwide, and the company expects its atrial fibrillation (Afib) ablation and left atrial appendage management (LAAM) products to continue generating a majority of revenue for the foreseeable future. AtriCure sells directly to hospitals in the United States, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, the Benelux region, Australia, and Canada, and through distributors elsewhere.

AtriCure generates revenue primarily from single-use disposable ablation and pain-management devices, including Isolator Synergy and EnCompass clamps, EPi-Sense catheters, and cryoICE cryoSPHERE and cryoXT Cryo Nerve Block probes, sold alongside capital equipment (RF and cryo generators) that the company places with hospital customers. Products reach the operating room through a direct sales force in AtriCure's core markets and through independent distributors in other international territories, a channel the 10-K flags as a distinct risk since distributor turnover can disrupt sales continuity. Manufacturing is concentrated at AtriCure's Ohio campus, with production and sterilization of key components handled by single and limited-source third-party vendors for the RF generator and EPi-Sense system. Reimbursement dynamics matter directly to adoption: procedure volumes depend on Medicare and private-payor coverage decisions, and AtriCure competes against catheter ablation, implantable devices, and pharmacological therapy for Afib patients.

Show full overview

AtriCure's supply chain carries concentrated single-source exposure: the 10-K states the company relies on single and limited source third-party vendors for manufacturing and sterilization of product components, as well as for its RF generator and EPi-Sense system, and describes "significant concentrations with a limited number of vendors." Switching suppliers could require product redesign and new FDA submissions, a process the filing calls time-consuming, while ethylene-oxide sterilization facilities used by these vendors have faced voluntary or regulator-mandated closures tied to emissions concerns. Because AtriCure also lacks a backup manufacturing facility outside its Ohio headquarters, a disruption at either the vendor or company level could delay product availability without a ready alternative.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

From AtriCure, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202620d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 29%
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single and limited source third-party vendors
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)91.2
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA86.7
Profit Mgn-0.8%
ROE-1.0%
Rev Growth14.3%
Beta1.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV89%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle and limited source third-party vendors
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on single and limited source third-party vendors for the manufacture and sterilization of components used in our products'
  • MEDIUMProductablation and LAAM products
    10-K Item 1A: 'We expect that sales of our ablation and LAAM products will continue to account for a majority of our revenue for the foreseeable future'
  • LOWcounterpartyindependent distributors
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend on independent third-party distributors to sell our products in certain markets outside of the United States, and if these distributors do not perform, we may be unable to maintain or increase international revenue.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02LOW
    At the May 18, 2026 Annual Meeting, stockholders approved an amendment to the 2023 Stock Incentive Plan increasing shares available for issuance from 4,500,000 to 6,000,000. Routine compensation-plan matter; no leadership change.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
4.7
Gap
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.6
Value Rank
4.7
Growth Rank
6.3
GatesMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.4>=4.5A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $26.62Resistance $31.82

Price Targets

$30
$41
A.Upside+30.6%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts16
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$47

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATRC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $31.31: Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Concentration risk — Supplier: single and limited source third-party vendors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Prior stop was $29.56. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATRC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.89 (+28.6% upside). Prior stop was $29.56. Stop-loss: $29.56.

What are the risks of investing in ATRC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single and limited source third-party vendors; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ATRC overvalued or undervalued?

AtriCure, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 91.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ATRC?

16 analysts cover ATRC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $47.

What does AtriCure, Inc. do?AtriCure develops surgical devices for treating atrial fibrillation (Afib), left atrial appendage management, and...

AtriCure develops surgical devices for treating atrial fibrillation (Afib), left atrial appendage management, and post-operative pain, including its Isolator Synergy and EnCompass ablation clamps, AtriClip LAA exclusion system, and cryoICE/cryoSPHERE Cryo Nerve Block probes. The company sells directly to hospitals in the U.S., Germany, France, the UK, the Benelux region, Australia, and Canada, and through distributors elsewhere, with ablation and LAAM products expected to continue generating a majority of revenue. AtriCure's AtriClip is the most widely sold LAA management device worldwide, wit

Related stocks: STAA (STAAR Surgical Company) · NVST (Envista Holdings Corporation) · TFX (Teleflex Incorporated) · LMAT (LeMaitre Vascular, Inc.) · MMSI (Merit Medical Systems, Inc.)
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