Academy Sports and Outdoors, In (ASO) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $2.31
- Estimate
- $2.08
- Surprise
- +11.1%
- Revenue (period 2026-08-01)
- $1.65B
- Score today
- 5.9/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Academy Sports and Outdoors, In (ASO) beat the $2.08 estimate with diluted EPS of $2.31 — a large 11.1% upside surprise.
Coverage in the report window
- Academy Sports Analysts Boost Their Forecasts After Upbeat Q2 Earnings — benzinga, 2026-09-10
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates ASO Hold at 5.9/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +11.1% surprise compares with a +4.3% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-12-08.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Positive news sentiment (+0.77)
What argues against it
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
- Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $55.79
- Price target
- $63.66
- Stop
- $51.48
- Upside to target
- +14.1%
The stock trades at 9.3× trailing but 7.8× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 76 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-14 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
ASO at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Specialty Retail
- Market cap
- $3.41B
- P/E (fwd)
- 7.8
- P/E (ttm)
- 9.3
- 52-week range
- $41.29–$62.45
- Off 52-week high
- 10.7%
- RSI (14)
- 76
- Volume vs avg
- 1.37×
- Score today
- 5.9/10