ASML Holding N.V. - New York Re (ASML) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $11.82
- Estimate
- $10.76
- Surprise
- +9.9%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.1 → 6.1/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
ASML Holding N.V. - New York Re (ASML) beat the $10.76 estimate with adjusted EPS of $11.82 — a clear 9.9% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.1/10) to Hold at 6.1/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates ASML Buy (Wait) at 6.2/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +9.9% surprise compares with a +6.3% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.4 in RISK_OFF)
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
What argues against it
- Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
- Expensive valuation
- Momentum score 4.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $1650.00
- Entry target
- $1597.97
- Price target
- $1913.70
- Stop
- $1493.91
- Upside to target
- +16.0%
- Reward-to-risk
- 2.5:1
The stock trades at 53.6× trailing but 27.0× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: trading volume is running 1.9× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-15 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
ASML at TrendMatrix's latest read
Technology names get repriced on forward expectations more than trailing prints — a quarter here is read through next-year growth and multiple, not the EPS line alone.
- Industry
- Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
- Market cap
- $633.76B
- P/E (fwd)
- 27.0
- P/E (ttm)
- 53.6
- 52-week range
- $946.11–$1999.96
- Off 52-week high
- 17.5%
- RSI (14)
- 42
- Volume vs avg
- 1.93×
- Score today
- 6.2/10