Antero Resources (AR) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.83
- Estimate
- $0.98
- Surprise
- -15.3%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $1.56B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.3 → 6.3/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Antero Resources (AR) missed the $0.98 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.83 — a large 15.3% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.3/10) to Sell at 6.3/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates AR Sell at 6.3/10.
1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -15.3% surprise compares with a -10.7% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Thin upside margin: 6.1%
- Consecutive earnings misses (3)
- Overbought (RSI 83)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $42.11
- Price target
- $44.67
- Stop
- $39.49
- Upside to target
- +6.1%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.4:1
The stock trades at 12.1× trailing but 9.0× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 83 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum; trading volume is running 1.6× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
AR at TrendMatrix's latest read
Energy results are commodity-price arithmetic first; the operational beat or miss is read net of what the strip already told the market.
- Industry
- Oil & Gas E&P
- Market cap
- $12.95B
- P/E (fwd)
- 9.0
- P/E (ttm)
- 12.1
- 52-week range
- $29.10–$45.75
- Off 52-week high
- 8.0%
- RSI (14)
- 83
- Volume vs avg
- 1.59×
- Score today
- 6.3/10