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AMRAlpha Metallurgical Resources, Sell4.4·$172.01

Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT · SMALLER LOSS+1.0% vs estimateEPS -$0.96 vs -$0.97 estCurrent verdict Sell 4.4/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
-$0.96
Estimate
-$0.97
Surprise
+1.0%
Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
$491.5M
Score today
4.4/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR) reported a narrower loss than forecast — adjusted EPS of -$0.96 against the -$0.97 estimate (a 1.0% beat on a still-unprofitable quarter).

Current read · as of 2026-09-24

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates AMR Sell at 4.4/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +1.0% surprise compares with a +10.0% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-06.

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Commodity: met coal (96.0%)
  • Concentration risk — Geographic: export revenues (73.0%)
  • Target reached (-11.1% upside)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$172.01
Price target
$237.65
Stop
$161.00
Upside to target
+38.2%

Risk check: RSI 27 — a level conventionally read as oversold; trading volume is running 1.5× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-24 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Basic Materials context

AMR at TrendMatrix's latest read

Materials producers report against the commodity cycle — realized-price capture and volume, not the EPS line, are the tells in a quarter like this.

Industry
Coking Coal
Market cap
$2.29B
P/E (fwd)
9.9
52-week range
$133.64–$253.82
Off 52-week high
32.2%
RSI (14)
27
Volume vs avg
1.50×
Score today
4.4/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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