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ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Sell5.8·$130.46+1.57%

Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+5.5% vs estimateEPS $2.73 vs $2.59 estVerdict Buy (Wait)Sell

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$2.73
Estimate
$2.59
Surprise
+5.5%
Score at report (before → after)
5.96.1/10

Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN) beat the $2.59 estimate with diluted EPS of $2.73 — a clear 5.5% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.9/10) to Sell at 6.1/10 after the report.

Current read · as of 2026-09-04

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates ALSN Sell at 5.8/10.

2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +5.5% surprise compares with a +4.8% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-29.

What supports the rating

  • Attractive valuation

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (76.0%)
  • Concentration risk — Customer: top five OEM customers (52.0%)
  • Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$130.46
Price target
$150.25
Stop
$122.15
Upside to target
+15.2%

The stock trades at 20.0× trailing but 11.4× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Cyclical context

ALSN at TrendMatrix's latest read

Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.

Industry
Auto Parts
Market cap
$10.61B
P/E (fwd)
11.4
P/E (ttm)
20.0
52-week range
$76.01$137.62
Off 52-week high
5.2%
RSI (14)
56
Volume vs avg
0.07×
Score today
5.8/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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