Alarm.com Holdings (ALRM) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.77
- Estimate
- $0.65
- Surprise
- +18.9%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $277.7M
- Score today
- 6.0/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Alarm.com Holdings (ALRM) beat the $0.65 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.77 — a large 18.9% upside surprise.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates ALRM Sell at 6.0/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +18.9% surprise compares with a +15.8% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-05.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
- Strong growth profile
What argues against it
- Thin upside margin: 3.4%
- Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
- Reward/Risk 0.7:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $53.00
- Price target
- $54.81
- Stop
- $50.56
- Upside to target
- +3.4%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.7:1
The stock trades at 23.5× trailing but 17.4× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 15 — a level conventionally read as oversold.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-24 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
ALRM at TrendMatrix's latest read
Technology names get repriced on forward expectations more than trailing prints — a quarter here is read through next-year growth and multiple, not the EPS line alone.
- Industry
- Software - Application
- Market cap
- $2.62B
- P/E (fwd)
- 17.4
- P/E (ttm)
- 23.5
- 52-week range
- $41.49–$58.15
- Off 52-week high
- 8.8%
- RSI (14)
- 15
- Volume vs avg
- 0.17×
- Score today
- 6.0/10