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ALMSAlumis Inc.Sell4.5·$11.10-2.25%

Alumis (ALMS) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

MISS · WIDER LOSS-11.3% vs estimateEPS -$0.79 vs -$0.71 estCurrent verdict Sell 4.5/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
-$0.79
Estimate
-$0.71
Surprise
-11.3%
Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
$1.7M
Score today
4.5/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Alumis (ALMS) reported a wider loss than forecast — diluted EPS of -$0.79 against the -$0.71 estimate (a 11.3% shortfall).

Around the report

Coverage in the report window

  • HC Wainwright & Co. Reiterates Neutral on Alumis, Maintains $25 Price Targetbenzinga, 2026-08-14
  • Alumis Q2 EPS $(1.11) Misses $(0.71) Estimate, Sales $1.662M Miss $3.468M Estimatebenzinga, 2026-08-13
  • Alumis Psoriasis Treatment Shows Leading Skin Clearance Ratesbenzinga, 2026-08-11
Current read · as of 2026-09-05

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates ALMS Sell at 4.5/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -11.3% surprise compares with a +12.8% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-12.

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Pipeline: envu (envudeucitinib)
  • Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
  • Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$11.10
Price target
$27.95
Stop
$10.32
Upside to target
+151.8%
Reward-to-risk
10.1:1

Risk check: RSI 18 — a level conventionally read as oversold.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-05 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Healthcare context

ALMS at TrendMatrix's latest read

Healthcare earnings trade on pipeline and payer dynamics as much as the quarter itself; a beat or miss is weighed against trial and reimbursement news.

Industry
Biotechnology
Market cap
$1.44B
P/E (fwd)
-3.9
52-week range
$3.76$31.35
Off 52-week high
64.6%
RSI (14)
18
Volume vs avg
0.97×
Score today
4.5/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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