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ALLAllstate Corporation (The)Buy Wait6.5·$259.57-1.35%

Allstate Corporation (The) (ALL) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+48.0% vs estimateEPS $8.99 vs $6.07 estVerdict Buy (Wait)Hold

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$8.99
Estimate
$6.07
Surprise
+48.0%
Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
$18.60B
Score at report (before → after)
6.25.9/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Allstate Corporation (The) (ALL) beat the $6.07 estimate with diluted EPS of $8.99 — a large 48.0% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.2/10) to Hold at 5.9/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.

Current read · as of 2026-09-04

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates ALL Buy (Wait) at 6.5/10.

4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +48.0% surprise compares with a +55.0% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-04.

What supports the rating

  • V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.0 in RISK_OFF)
  • Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Product: Allstate Protection segment (93.9%)
  • Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing)
  • Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$259.57
Entry target
$240.33
Price target
$265.10
Stop
$230.21
Upside to target
+2.1%

Forward estimates sit below the trailing run-rate (9.5× forward vs 5.2× trailing) — consensus expects earnings to decline from here.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Financial Services context

ALL at TrendMatrix's latest read

For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.

Industry
Insurance - Property & Casualty
Market cap
$66.53B
P/E (fwd)
9.5
P/E (ttm)
5.2
52-week range
$188.08$277.22
Off 52-week high
6.4%
RSI (14)
53
Volume vs avg
0.80×
Score today
6.5/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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