Alaska Air Group (ALK) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- -$0.31
- Estimate
- $0.28
- Surprise
- -211.0%
- Score today
- 5.4/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Alaska Air Group (ALK) reported a wider loss than forecast — adjusted EPS of -$0.31 against the $0.28 estimate (a 211.0% shortfall).
Coverage in the report window
- Alaska Air Group Reports Third-Quarter 2026 Financial Results — fiscal.ai, 2026-10-20
- Alaska Air Gr Q3 Adj. EPS $0.36 Beats $0.28 Estimate, Sales $4.308B Miss $4.314B Estimate — benzinga, 2026-10-20
- Alaska Air Gr Sees Q4 Adj EPS $(2.50)-$(2.00) vs $(0.98) Est — benzinga, 2026-10-20
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates ALK Sell at 5.4/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -211.0% surprise compares with a +21.9% four-quarter average.
What argues against it
- Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $34.36
- Price target
- $49.56
- Stop
- $32.72
- Upside to target
- +44.2%
- Reward-to-risk
- 5.0:1
Risk check: RSI 28 — a level conventionally read as oversold; trading volume is running 2.5× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-21 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
ALK at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Airlines
- Market cap
- $3.83B
- P/E (fwd)
- 10.2
- 52-week range
- $33.03–$60.63
- Off 52-week high
- 43.3%
- RSI (14)
- 28
- Volume vs avg
- 2.46×
- Score today
- 5.4/10