Value
7.6/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 9.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 1.8 |
| Fwd P/E | 7.4 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 16.7x
- ▸PEG: 0.06
- ▸Attractively valued
ADTN · Why this verdict
Why ADTRAN Holdings (ADTN) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
3.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.0 |
| Gross margin | 3.7 |
| Op margin | 0.9 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 6.3 |
| Moat | 5.8 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
8.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 6.4 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 8.3 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 1.7 |
- ▸Oversold in uptrend (RSI 26)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 9.6 |
| erm sentiment | 6.3 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 53%
Insider
3.4/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 3.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Notable insider selling — $2,357,211 (0.229% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 9.1 |
| quality rank | 2.4 |
| growth rank | 5.2 |
Technical
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 9.9 |
| support resistance | 9.4 |
| 52w position | 2.7 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 1.8 |
| days to cover | 6.3 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 4.1 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 5.2 |
| debt equity | 8.1 |
- ▸High short interest justified: 17%
- ▸High IV: 98%
Catalyst
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 6.5 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 5.7 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:4.8>=4.5
- ASYMMETRY:2.3>=1.5
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:31d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (2)
- MOMENTUM:4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
- INSIDER:0.23%=MODERATE
Reward-to-Risk
2.33
Upside
+33.5%
Downside
14.3%
Sizing output
AVOID
Setup— — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeInst Constrain — Small cap ($1.0B) below institutional reach
SuitabilityAggressive — Beta 1.45>1.3, MCap $1.0B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Growth at 8.2 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 8.2, Value at 7.6, and Technical at 7.3; the weakest are Quality at 3.2, Insider at 3.4, and Risk (lower is worse) at 3.6. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.33 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.