Adeia (ADEA) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.21
- Estimate
- $0.30
- Surprise
- -28.9%
- Score today
- 7.0/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Adeia (ADEA) missed the $0.30 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.21 — a large 28.9% shortfall.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates ADEA Buy (Wait) at 7.0/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -28.9% surprise compares with a +3.1% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=9.3 in RISK_OFF)
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (55.7%)
- Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $20.67
- Entry target
- $19.64
- Price target
- $36.55
- Stop
- $18.27
- Upside to target
- +76.8%
- Reward-to-risk
- 6.8:1
The stock trades at 19.0× trailing but 12.9× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: trading volume is running 1.9× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-03 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
ADEA at TrendMatrix's latest read
Technology names get repriced on forward expectations more than trailing prints — a quarter here is read through next-year growth and multiple, not the EPS line alone.
- Industry
- Software - Application
- Market cap
- $2.28B
- P/E (fwd)
- 12.9
- P/E (ttm)
- 19.0
- 52-week range
- $11.61–$34.34
- Off 52-week high
- 39.8%
- RSI (14)
- 38
- Volume vs avg
- 1.92×
- Score today
- 7.0/10