Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos (ACGLO) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.
Arch Capital Group Ltd. provides specialty insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance worldwide through three operating segments, with $26.9 billion in capital at December 31, 2025. The company generated $16.5 billion in net premiums and $4.4 billion in net income available... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
About Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos
About Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos
Arch Capital Group wrote $16.5 billion in net premiums in 2025, generating $4.4 billion in net income available to common shareholders, with approximately $26.9 billion in capital supporting three operating segments — insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage — at December 31, 2025. The Bermuda-domiciled specialty insurer and reinsurer, an S&P 500 component, conducts business across Bermuda, the U.S., the U.K., Europe, Canada, and Australia, and is supervised by insurance regulators in multiple jurisdictions including state insurance departments, Lloyd's, the Central Bank of Ireland, and APRA.
Arch's insurance segment focuses on specialty lines written on both admitted and non-admitted bases in the U.S. through five insurance subsidiaries — including Arch Insurance Company (admitted in all 50 states) and Arch Specialty Insurance Company (E&S in 50 states) — expanded by the August 2024 acquisition of Allianz's U.S. Middle Market P&C and Entertainment businesses. The reinsurance segment operates through Arch Re Bermuda (Class 4 general business insurer), Arch Re U.S. (licensed in 50 states), Arch Re Europe, and Lloyd's Syndicates 2012 and 1955, writing proportional and non-proportional treaty and facultative business worldwide. The mortgage segment provides primary mortgage insurance through carriers approved by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, participates in GSE credit risk-sharing transactions, and writes lenders mortgage insurance in Australia through APRA-regulated Arch Lenders Mortgage Indemnity Ltd. Premium is distributed primarily through licensed retail and wholesale brokers, with catastrophe reinsurance arranged through a group-wide reinsurance steering committee that evaluates counterparty financial strength.
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In August 2024, Arch Capital was added to the list of Internationally Active Insurance Groups, subjecting its global operations to additional supervisory scrutiny and potential capital requirements imposed by multiple regulators simultaneously. The company's Bermuda holding company structure faces a 15% corporate income tax under the Bermuda CIT Act effective January 1, 2025, with further exposure possible from OECD minimum-tax implementation across the other countries where Arch operates. Regulatory fragmentation — where requirements in one jurisdiction diverge from another's, as the company notes in climate disclosure obligations — may affect competitive positioning, capital allocation, and how operations are structured across all three segments.
See also: Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified
From Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K Jun 3, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: David Gansberg stepped down as President (overseeing Global Insurance Group) effective immediately. Maamoun Rajeh's role expanded as President to cover the Insurance segment in addition to existing Reinsurance and Mortgage responsibilities. Clean handoff; no disagreement cited.
Generated 2026-06-15T14:56:46Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-03Item 5.02MEDIUMDavid Gansberg stepped down as President (overseeing Global Insurance Group) effective immediately. Maamoun Rajeh's role expanded as President to cover the Insurance segment in addition to existing Reinsurance and Mortgage responsibilities. Clean handoff; no disagreement cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $19.47 (+1.5%), stop $18.87 (−1.7%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $19.47 (+1.5% upside). Target $19.47 (+1.5%), stop $18.87 (−1.7%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $18.87.
Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.
Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos trades at a P/E of 4.1 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 10.0/10. Verdict: Hold.
28 analysts cover ACGLO with a consensus score of 3.8/5.
What does Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos do?Arch Capital Group Ltd. provides specialty insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance worldwide through three...
Arch Capital Group Ltd. provides specialty insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance worldwide through three operating segments, with $26.9 billion in capital at December 31, 2025. The company generated $16.5 billion in net premiums and $4.4 billion in net income available to common shareholders in 2025, operating across Bermuda, U.S., U.K., Europe, Canada, and Australia.